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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$176.52
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$158.02
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$71.90

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wong

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Coleman Wong
    Won
    Sebastian Baez
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$3,379.94
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$636.58
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$421.14

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$250.50
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$137.44
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$127.93

  • Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SPARTA
    Won
    SPARTA
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      SPARTA+$844.03
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      SPARTA+$770.82
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Nuclear TigeRES-$412.17

  • Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstat

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Chun-Hsin Tseng
    Won
    Jan Kumstat
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Chun-Hsin Tseng-$1,879.71
    • S
      flatbarrelLast traded
      Chun-Hsin Tseng-$1,552.50
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Jan Kumstat+$1,307.18

  • Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,259.71
    • S
      FlipadelphiaLast traded
      Yes-$1,201.18
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$1,121.55

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$866.25
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down-$583.49
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$362.67

  • Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Bilibili Gaming
    Won
    TYLOO
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Bilibili Gaming-$713.18
    • S
      antecLast traded
      TYLOO+$254.24
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Bilibili Gaming-$236.09

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$79.61
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down-$76.06
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down-$74.80

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$436.15
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$229.07
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$219.38

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$291.79
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$243.94
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$77.68

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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