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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Commanders vs. Lions

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Lions
    Won
    Lions
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$10,938
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$9,342.55
    • S
      ndb1Last traded
      Under+$3,598.42

  • Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Assche

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Luca Van Assche
    Won
    Luca Van Assche
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HVABLast traded
      Luca Van Assche+$7,597.91
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Luca Van Assche-$5,041.82
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Luca Van Assche+$2,091.83

  • Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FURIA Esports
    Won
    FURIA Esports
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlipadelphiaLast traded
      No-$1,400.92
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$694.17
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$381.06

  • Cancun: Vit Kopriva vs Lloyd Harris

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lloyd Harris
    Won
    Lloyd Harris
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?

    Right

    Astra

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • West Ham United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Estoril Praia vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$5,418.92
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Over-$1,657.63
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      Under+$1,300

  • Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Spirit
    Won
    Spirit
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$2,312.31
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$920.06
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$774.94

  • LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Fnatic
    Won
    Fnatic
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Quebec City: Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos Sakellaridis

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Stefanos Sakellaridis
    Won
    Stefanos Sakellaridis
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Stefanos Sakellaridis+$20,192.69
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Stefanos Sakellaridis+$17,453.32
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Stefanos Sakellaridis+$14,354.64

  • Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cancun: Moez Echargui vs Moise Kouame

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Moez Echargui
    Won
    Moez Echargui
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Team Vitality vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Team Vitality
    Won
    Fire Flux Esports
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      trgparkingLast traded
      Fire Flux Esports+$719.99
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Team Vitality-$406.51
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Team Vitality-$341.32

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$271.88
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$227.53
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$177.25

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$281.81
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$169.47
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$134.23

  • Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    WBT
    Won
    mellren
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Cleveland Guardians
    Won
    Cleveland Guardians
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Colorado Rockies-$5,586.93
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Colorado Rockies-$4,683.13
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Cleveland Guardians+$593.72

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Won
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks+$24,209.79
    • S
      Soarin22Last traded
      Cincinnati Reds-$8,403.50
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks+$2,772.61

  • Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 34,401 more positions across 3,079 markets on this day.

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