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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will OGC Nice win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$3,023.17
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$1,710.35
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No+$1,411.08

  • RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$571.04
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$205.95
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down+$205.65

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Paris FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Boston Red Sox
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Boston Red Sox+$8,874.96
    • S
      monkeymashingkeyboardLast traded
      San Francisco Giants-$4,917.80
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      San Francisco Giants-$2,255.87

  • UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)

    No consensus

    MMA

    Won
    Jackson McVey
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ravens vs. Vikings

    Wrong

    NFL

    Called
    Vikings
    Won
    Ravens
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$3,325.65
    • S
      Momo63Last traded
      Yes-$3,040.13
    • S
      C63AMGLast traded
      No+$2,560.63

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Detroit Tigers
    Won
    Kansas City Royals
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$308.93
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$125.51
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down+$115.49

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
    Won
    RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      RCD Espanyol de Barcelona+$5,451.71
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Real Madrid CF-$4,011.93
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      RCD Espanyol de Barcelona+$2,071.21

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$227.38
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$168.56
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$162.96

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$187.85
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$183.59
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down+$134.30

  • Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$601.19
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$561.51
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$184.37

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$194.54
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$184.25
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$93.53

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 34,401 more positions across 3,079 markets on this day.

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