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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Texas Rangers
    Won
    Texas Rangers
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$8,336.41
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$7,271.92
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      No+$4,191.59

  • Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Minnesota Lynx
    Won
    Minnesota Lynx
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      Washington Mystics-$3,160.10
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      Minnesota Lynx+$2,955.27
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Washington Mystics-$2,469.48

  • Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      MisTKyLast traded
      No+$1,437.38
    • S
      whigLast traded
      Yes+$270.44
    • S
      The-JokerLast traded
      No+$88.59

  • Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    San Diego Padres
    Won
    San Diego Padres
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      New York Yankees-$14,162.24
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      New York Yankees-$3,224.35
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays+$2,915.94

  • Jets vs. Steelers

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Jets
    Won
    Jets
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$236.86
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$221.88
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$219

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Leo Team
    Won
    Leo Team
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Baltimore Orioles
    Won
    Baltimore Orioles
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Tampa Bay Rays-$6,833.13
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Tampa Bay Rays-$6,612.62
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      Baltimore Orioles+$6,514.08

  • Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    7%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    JD Gaming
    Won
    JD Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$655.52
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$434.09
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$375.15

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Bushido Wildcats
    Won
    Noir Verse
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Won
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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