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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MVK Esports
    Won
    MVK Esports
    Profitable wallets
    62
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    62
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    62
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$344.53
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$199.23
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Up+$187.25

  • Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    61
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    61
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    61
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    60
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$4,346.76
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$4,095.39
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$1,407.82

  • Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FUT Esports
    Won
    FUT Esports
    Profitable wallets
    60
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CF América win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    59
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Chicago Sky
    Won
    Chicago Sky
    Profitable wallets
    59
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      Chicago Sky+$7,848.62
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Chicago Sky+$5,352.06
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Golden State Valkyries-$4,423.53

  • Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    59
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    59
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    59
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$347.45
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$316.26
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$297.56

  • Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FURIA
    Won
    FURIA
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SK Gaming
    Won
    SK Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$882.84
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$630.24
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$350.53

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Won
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Philadelphia Phillies-$7,227.99
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      Philadelphia Phillies+$6,399.24
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Philadelphia Phillies+$3,368.41

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Hull City AFC
    Won
    Hull City AFC
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Hull City AFC+$15,275.84
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Hull City AFC+$3,950.62
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Hull City AFC+$3,361.90

  • Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$10,680.03
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$4,522.74
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$3,307.34

  • Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$141.60
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Down+$120.48
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$110.80

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago Cubs
    Won
    Seattle Mariners
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Yankees
    Won
    New York Yankees
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Washington Nationals
    Won
    Miami Marlins
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up+$301.05
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$278.40
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$257.51

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$174.44
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$79.35
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$78.70

  • Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Toronto Tempo
    Won
    Toronto Tempo
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyuk

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Marta Kostyuk
    Won
    Coco Gauff
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Marta Kostyuk-$5,735.38
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Marta Kostyuk-$5,130.43
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Coco Gauff+$4,529.78

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up-$217.83
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$84.31
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$81.95

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$337.21
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$268.32
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$217.96

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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