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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • SV Wehen Wiesbaden vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$1,547.54
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$210.86
    • S
      MartyMcFoxLast traded
      Over-$145.65

  • Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Logrono Women: Juliana Giaccio vs Charo Esquiva Banuls

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Charo Esquiva Banuls
    Won
    Juliana Giaccio
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Juliana Giaccio+$346.44
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Charo Esquiva Banuls-$245.90
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Charo Esquiva Banuls-$93.16

  • Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Seattle Mariners
    Won
    Seattle Mariners
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Chicago Cubs-$1,026.51
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Chicago Cubs-$963.63
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Seattle Mariners+$563.44

  • Will Mitre Santiago del Estero win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 22?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Impressive-SteakLast traded
      Yes-$831.87
    • S
      0xDB5Last traded
      Yes+$37.61
    • A
      gt197Last traded
      Yes+$354.06

  • Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 21?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Yunseong Chung vs M Rifqi Fitriadi

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Yunseong Chung
    Won
    M Rifqi Fitriadi
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yunseong Chung-$853.55
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Yunseong Chung+$238.49
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      M Rifqi Fitriadi+$174.94

  • Exact Score: Hull City AFC 0 - 1 Manchester United FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$334.37
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$149.80
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$79.96

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Brentford FC
    Won
    Brentford FC
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Brentford FC+$115.67
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Brentford FC+$70.75
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Tottenham Hotspur FC-$66.56

  • Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Washington Nationals
    Won
    Miami Marlins
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoomLaLaLast traded
      Washington Nationals-$176.30
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Miami Marlins+$154.92
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Washington Nationals-$94.18

  • Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Wrexham AFC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Angels
    Won
    Los Angeles Angels
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Texas Rangers-$466.39
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Los Angeles Angels+$445.63
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Los Angeles Angels+$258.93

  • Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Texas Rangers
    Won
    Texas Rangers
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Blaublitz Akita win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Juárez vs. CF América: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$913.78
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$185.81
    • S
      Corrupt-HornLast traded
      Over+$23.01

  • Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No-$300.93
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$12.39
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      Yes+$448.51

  • Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Won
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      St. Louis Cardinals-$100.89
    • S
      curieLast traded
      St. Louis Cardinals-$97.34
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Philadelphia Phillies+$20.83

  • Solana Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Konyaspor end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Zurich vs. FC Basel 1893: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,003.32
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$909.92
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Over+$453.23

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Leo Team
    Won
    Leo Team
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 22?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tamil Nadu Premier League: Nellai Royal Kings vs Madurai Panthers

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    Madurai Panthers
    Won
    Madurai Panthers
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Deportivo Madryn win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his rally with Darline Graham?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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