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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Hull City AFC 3 - 3 Manchester United FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$102.18
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$72.56
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$15.95

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$226.51
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$23.24
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$22.21

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$90.50
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down-$24.56
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$20.84

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$33.43
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$24.69
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$21.58

  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Nemiga
    Won
    Nemiga
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$271.38
    • S
      gaclfzLast traded
      No+$247.84
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$144.80

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$21.54
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      Yes-$187.21
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      No+$54.54

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$53.06
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      No+$65.97
    • A
      TunSahurLast traded
      No+$13.30

  • Will SV Wehen Wiesbaden vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No+$279.64
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$17.88
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$4.97

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-08-22?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$450.70
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$267.97
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$189.33

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kashima Antlers vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$2.82
    • B
      MetamonLast traded
      No+$5.48
    • B
      0x2048Last traded
      No+$5.36

  • Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Gabriele Maria Noce vs Thilo Behrmann

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Thilo Behrmann
    Won
    Thilo Behrmann
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 22?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xDB5Last traded
      Yes+$138.68
    • A
      NoteagleLast traded
      Yes+$10.72
    • A
      Fair-TanLast traded
      Yes+$7.76

  • Will Fortuna Sittard vs. AZ end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$33.86
    • S
      Alpharo28Last traded
      Down-$18.98
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$16.39

  • Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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