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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Korona Kielce vs. LKP Motor Lublin: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$175.15
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over-$60.45
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$28.40

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 22?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Verbier Women: Ana Grubor vs Jenny Lim

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jenny Lim
    Won
    Jenny Lim
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Jenny Lim+$97.46
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Ana Grubor-$44.30
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Jenny Lim+$15

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Pohang Steelers FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Brentford FC 3 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$41.63
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$35.87
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$33.01

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$21.98
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$6.72
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down-$5.17

  • Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    TYLOO
    Won
    TYLOO
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SG Sonnenhof Großaspach win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$36.54
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$21.32
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$20.29

  • Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Mets
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Brentford FC
    Won
    Brentford FC
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Brentford FC+$7,095.88
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Brentford FC+$2,679.93
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Brentford FC+$1,350.09

  • Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Washington Nationals
    Won
    Washington Nationals
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Washington Nationals+$8,705.67
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Washington Nationals+$1,117.05
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Washington Nationals+$874.20

  • Spread: Holstein Kiel (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    TSV 1860 München
    Won
    Holstein Kiel
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      TSV 1860 München-$2,712.28
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      TSV 1860 München-$1,526.37
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      TSV 1860 München-$1,031.87

  • Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Solana reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    53%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Last traded
      No-$4,468.57
    • S
      coinman2Last traded
      No-$590.63
    • A
      AJSVLast traded
      No+$232.18

  • Kashima Antlers vs. Avispa Fukuoka: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Minnesota Lynx
    Won
    Minnesota Lynx
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Girona FC win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$968.81
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$434.71
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      No+$272.45

  • Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Kawasaki Frontale
    Won
    Kawasaki Frontale
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kashima Antlers vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Le Mans FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Semen Pankin vs Dimitar Kisimov

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Dimitar Kisimov
    Won
    Dimitar Kisimov
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Dimitar Kisimov+$1,243.85
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Dimitar Kisimov+$856.94
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Dimitar Kisimov+$286.30

  • Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Tigres de la UANL
    Won
    Tigres de la UANL
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Atlante FC-$1,024.30
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Tigres de la UANL+$627.18
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Atlante FC-$416.58

  • Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AD Ceuta FC vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$503.06
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$261.90
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      No+$49.11

  • Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK CSKA Moskva vs. FK Lokomotiv Moskva: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ajman Club win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$448.92
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Yes-$102.39
    • S
      theZok1Last traded
      No-$5.83

  • Exact Score: Brentford FC 1 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kashima Antlers vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Yankees
    Won
    New York Yankees
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CS Cristal win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: AS Saint-Étienne (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Grenoble Foot 38
    Won
    AS Saint-Étienne
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      AS Saint-Étienne+$3,531.87
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Grenoble Foot 38-$2,068.33
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Grenoble Foot 38-$256.10

  • Beijing Guoan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Eintracht Frankfurt
    Won
    Eintracht Frankfurt
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Won
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Pittsburgh Pirates-$824.49
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers+$687.36
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Pittsburgh Pirates-$591.23

  • Will CDOriente Petrolero win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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