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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$2,727.47
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes+$249.06
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes+$129.75

  • Exact Score: Brentford FC 3 - 0 Tottenham Hotspur FC?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$1,369.05
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$846.37
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$425.78

  • SC Heerenveen vs. PEC Zwolle: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$1,177.30
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$45.75
    • A
      0x9f15…bdb3Last traded
      Under+$195.13

  • FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$2,656.51
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$429.18
    • S
      MiLiveLast traded
      Over+$0.78

  • Will ES Troyes AC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Erzgebirge Aue vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    94%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,414.82
    • S
      ndb1Last traded
      Under+$545.14
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$420.69

  • Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Under+$1,515.74
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Over-$1,025.81
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$942.89

  • Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1 - 3 Real Madrid CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$191
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$145.83
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$74.52

  • Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Envy
    Won
    Team Envy
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      MIBR-$117.42
    • A
      LidongoLast traded
      Team Envy+$699.71
    • A
      RevengeRangeLast traded
      Team Envy+$249.75

  • Will Club León FC vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$566.59
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$409.89
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$54.94

  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kashima Antlers vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 21?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NRG Esports
    Won
    NRG Esports
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      NRG Esports+$317.49
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      NRG Esports+$79.63
    • S
      antecLast traded
      NRG Esports+$41.74

  • Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    FULL SENSE
    Won
    ONSIDE GAMING
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Minnesota Lynx
    Won
    Minnesota Lynx
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club León FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Santander Men: Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Sergi Perez Contri

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Carlos Lopez Montagud
    Won
    Sergi Perez Contri
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Carlos Lopez Montagud-$678.10
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Sergi Perez Contri+$235.97
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Carlos Lopez Montagud-$180.83

  • SV Wehen Wiesbaden vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 162.5

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$126.97
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$20.93
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down-$18.92

  • Will Western Europe region win The International 2026?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NRG Esports
    Won
    NRG Esports
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Nemiga
    Won
    Nemiga
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Energie Cottbus vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$60.76
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$35.01
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$31.24

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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