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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$275.21
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No-$59.45
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      No+$92.10

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$170.41
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No-$28.26
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$8.59

  • Exact Score: Hull City AFC 1 - 0 Manchester United FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$238.53
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$154.82
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$25.05

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$82.40
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up+$50.85
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$42.90

  • Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs Inner Circle Prospect (BO3) - United21 Group B

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FaZe Up Next
    Won
    FaZe Up Next
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    WRAITH PCIFIC
    Won
    WRAITH PCIFIC
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CS Marítimo win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    94%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$70.68
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$57.29
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$17.60

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    New York Yankees
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays-$6,009.04
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Toronto Blue Jays-$4,233.18
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Toronto Blue Jays-$250.67

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$722.56
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$631.93
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$390.90

  • Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    SSC Napoli
    Won
    SSC Napoli
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 99°F or below on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$46.52
    • A
      ShyGuy1Last traded
      Yes+$420.80
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      No-$33.38

  • Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Seattle Mariners
    Won
    Chicago Cubs
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Seattle Mariners-$756.30
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Seattle Mariners-$313.33
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Seattle Mariners+$266.67

  • ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Kokoro Isomura

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kokoro Isomura
    Won
    Kokoro Isomura
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Petr Bar Biryukov-$3,441.81
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Kokoro Isomura+$677.18
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Petr Bar Biryukov-$58.22

  • Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$512.98
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$249.56
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$242.60

  • KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinos

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    NC Dinos
    Won
    Samsung Lions
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      NC Dinos-$919.09
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      NC Dinos-$393.33
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      NC Dinos-$204.78

  • Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Bayer 04 Leverkusen
    Won
    Bayer 04 Leverkusen
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      SV Wehen Wiesbaden-$1,590.51
    • S
      MartyMcFoxLast traded
      Bayer 04 Leverkusen+$306.29
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      SV Wehen Wiesbaden-$199.64

  • ITF M25 Taipei Men: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Matthew Dellavedova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Matthew Dellavedova
    Won
    Matthew Dellavedova
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Matthew Dellavedova+$2,589.43
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Shunsuke Mitsui-$414.01
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Shunsuke Mitsui-$190.08

  • Will Preston North End FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Båstad Men: Jan Simonsson vs Niklas Guttau

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Niklas Guttau
    Won
    Niklas Guttau
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Jan Simonsson-$1,346.28
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Niklas Guttau+$57.01
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Niklas Guttau-$16.28

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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