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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$154.40
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$119.69
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$101.21

  • Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$3,442.98
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$356.80
    • S
      blackewolf83Last traded
      Yes+$80.31

  • Preston North End FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$413.76
    • S
      spffastLast traded
      Over+$59.87
    • S
      ARocky33Last traded
      Over+$20.60

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 22?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Up-$1,285.10
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$200.49
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down+$85.94

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Boston Red Sox
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LonnieHawkinsLast traded
      Over+$744.99
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$327.62
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$115.36

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Atlanta Braves
    Won
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      Yes+$261.69
    • A
      TunSahurLast traded
      No-$90.78
    • A
      sailor82Last traded
      No-$57.70

  • Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No-$71.11
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$22.39
    • A
      TunSahurLast traded
      Yes+$165.80

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Estoril Praia vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over-$580.41
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$244.99
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$209.08

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$25.23
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down+$18.11
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$6.46

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$90.52
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Up+$43.09
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$38.86

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No+$27.21
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$1.15
    • A
      shanze8Last traded
      No+$0.58

  • Will Derby County FC vs. Cardiff City FC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Washington Nationals
    Won
    Washington Nationals
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Hull City AFC 2 - 0 Manchester United FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$4,736.01
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$3,003.96
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,321.07

  • ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Josy Daems vs Lola Giza

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Josy Daems
    Won
    Josy Daems
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Josy Daems+$3,395.29
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Josy Daems+$409.10
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Lola Giza-$324.50

  • Manchester United FC leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    95%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$4,894.82
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$2,154.72
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$1,515.81

  • Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vivo Keyd Stars
    Won
    Vivo Keyd Stars
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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