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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Toronto Blue Jays+$9,718.20
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays+$5,812.42
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Toronto Blue Jays+$1,395.43

  • Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Portland Fire (-2.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Toronto Tempo
    Won
    Toronto Tempo
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Taylor Fritz Win the Cincinnati Open?

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Südtirol win on 2026-08-22?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$1,055.37
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$1,028.31
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Yes+$338.71

  • Spread: Portland Fire (-1.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Toronto Tempo
    Won
    Toronto Tempo
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fenerbahçe SK vs. Konyaspor: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 3 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    TYLOO
    Won
    TYLOO
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      TYLOO+$42.06
    • A
      ZZT111Last traded
      TYLOO+$1,891.88
    • A
      gbbgxfbLast traded
      TYLOO+$490.55

  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 22?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$889.91
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$265.08
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$111.08

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Up+$1,518.35
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$186
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$65.40

  • Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    BoomBoys
    Won
    Nigma Galaxy
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Minnesota Lynx
    Won
    Minnesota Lynx
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Real Madrid CF
    Won
    RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Adorable-AcquaintanceLast traded
      Real Madrid CF-$500.44
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      RCD Espanyol de Barcelona+$306.28
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      RCD Espanyol de Barcelona+$210.37

  • Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,280.50
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$360
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$335.39

  • Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Querétaro FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Puntarenas FC win on 2026-08-21?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    UNiTY esports
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs ENCE (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ENCE
    Won
    ENCE
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$737.70
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$529.69
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      No+$360

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$5,782
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,090.76
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$946.75

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Arad Men: Robert Guna vs Iannis Miletich

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Robert Guna
    Won
    Iannis Miletich
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up+$49.66
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$33.94
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$26.77

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    26%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Te0n2Last traded
      Yes+$195.37
    • A
      XieGuangKunLast traded
      No+$134.12
    • A
      AJSVLast traded
      Yes+$63.04

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 34,401 more positions across 3,079 markets on this day.

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