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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Doncaster Rovers FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$20,779.26
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$13,653.74
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$3,052.82

  • Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Yandex
    Won
    Team Yandex
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Cincinnati Reds
    Won
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Sunam Jeong vs Meng Yi Chen

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Meng Yi Chen
    Won
    Meng Yi Chen
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Oliver Tarvet
    Won
    Oliver Tarvet
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Oliver Tarvet+$5,443.79
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Oliver Tarvet+$2,236.48
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Oliver Tarvet+$718.80

  • Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$3,882.67
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$1,630.11
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      Over+$752.70

  • Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$2,545.76
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$702.31
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$480

  • Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will XRP reach $1.60 in August?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,498.60
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$1,111.05
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Over+$346.20

  • Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 161.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Evil Geniuses
    Won
    Evil Geniuses
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Sevilla FC
    Won
    Sevilla FC
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    mellren
    Won
    mellren
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$762.79
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$416.05
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      No+$379.05

  • Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$1,038.20
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes+$530
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Yes+$530

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    96%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$90
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$89.45
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$87

  • LoL: NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NRG Esports
    Won
    NRG Esports
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Lavked
    Won
    Lavked
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chunichi Dragons vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chunichi Dragons
    Won
    Chunichi Dragons
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    55%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fortuna Sittard vs. AZ: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$943.41
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$348.34
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$272.22

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-08-22?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$3,526.25
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,951.62
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$827.10

  • Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$652.11
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$391.62
    • S
      WagerWizardLast traded
      No+$45.71

  • Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    Butterfly
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlipadelphiaLast traded
      Under-$2,211.28
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Over+$1,711.69
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$845.79

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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