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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: CAR (-1.5)

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    CAR
    Won
    CAR
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 21?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Won
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$5,578.95
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Philadelphia Phillies-$2,461.40
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$1,307.28

  • Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Brentford FC
    Won
    Brentford FC
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      Brentford FC+$788.30
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Tottenham Hotspur FC-$486.49
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Tottenham Hotspur FC+$292.93

  • FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$1,168.69
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes+$739.83
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$671.31

  • Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NRG Esports
    Won
    NRG Esports
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      KingVon1Last traded
      NRG Esports+$3,239.44
    • A
      NotJumpLast traded
      NRG Esports+$42.50
    • A
      funfactsLast traded
      NRG Esports+$3.05

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Hull City AFC
    Won
    Hull City AFC
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Hull City AFC+$7,396.71
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Hull City AFC+$3,109.02
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Manchester United FC-$262.27

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 22?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Falcons vs. Colts

    Wrong

    NFL

    Called
    Colts
    Won
    Falcons
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$5,202.12
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes+$553.72
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes+$68.30

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Thailand win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,259.61
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes+$163.35
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$101.57

  • Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,693.60
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Under+$1,091.31
    • S
      BoomLaLaLast traded
      Over-$695.18

  • Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will 1. FC Saarbrücken win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kashima Antlers vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bushido Wildcats
    Won
    Bushido Wildcats
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Bushido Wildcats+$534.30
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Lavked-$189.46
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Bushido Wildcats+$172.45

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$105.64
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down+$96.21
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down-$89.18

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SV Wehen Wiesbaden win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$1,978.20
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$1,254.73
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$411.86

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Up-$924.05
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down+$78.50
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$58.46

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$572.78
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$485.92
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under+$376.47

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Up+$131.37
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down-$98.51
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up+$88.04

  • Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$2,122.68
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,297.15
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$513

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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