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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Stefan Storch
    Won
    Stefan Storch
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Reiya Komagata-$47.63
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Stefan Storch+$41.64
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Stefan Storch+$31.92
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$186.38
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$5
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$4.39
  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes-$6.51
    • B
      goodman111Last traded
      Yes+$30.65
    • B
      EdmitLast traded
      Yes+$7.86
  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$19.89
    • S
      asdaefefLast traded
      Up+$4.49
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Up+$1.10
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$13.16
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$7.04
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$4.76
  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$78.72
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$9.95
    • A
      sailor82Last traded
      No+$10.48
  • Will Marialana Kinter be the FL-07 Democratic nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      AJSVLast traded
      No+$5.41
    • A
      mildwindow27Last traded
      No-$2.30
    • A
      i2dtLast traded
      No+$2.03
  • Esports

    Called
    EmberKoca
    Won
    EmberKoca
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 19?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • XRP Up or Down - August 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      drfc4eybh7i8Last traded
      Down+$11.14
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Down+$10.88
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$7.50
  • Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 19?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    LASK Linz
    Won
    Celtic FC
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes+$97.82
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      Yes+$2.26
    • B
      mr-sarkozyLast traded
      No-$113.85
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$106.95
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$5.76
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$5.56
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$36.23
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$10.93
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$0.04
  • Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Kostyuk
    Won
    Andreeva
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      hotcoldLast traded
      No+$2.33
    • B
      MetamonLast traded
      No+$1.89
    • B
      daegothLast traded
      No+$1.61
  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      quietparcelLast traded
      No-$5.21
    • A
      DkOYLLast traded
      No-$2.69
    • B
      daegothLast traded
      No+$1.15
  • Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$93.85
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under+$70.12
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$19.40
  • Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 32,912 more positions across 2,358 markets on this day.