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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Fire Flux Esports
    Won
    Metizport
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Fire Flux Esports-$62.37
    • A
      BookWarriorLast traded
      Fire Flux Esports-$32.21
    • A
      bingbardLast traded
      Metizport+$6.40
  • Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Paul Renner finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Ana Candiotto
    Won
    Ana Candiotto
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes-$5.22
    • A
      sailor82Last traded
      No+$45.24
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      No+$18
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      ReformedxLast traded
      Under+$45.58
    • A
      madoka123Last traded
      Under+$2.83
    • B
      taemaxxLast traded
      Under+$71.40
  • Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$9.77
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$9.22
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$7.44
  • Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$53.33
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$34.28
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$18.57
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • XRP Up or Down - August 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Called
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Won
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$67.58
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No+$8.04
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No-$0.01
  • Baseball

    Called
    San Diego Padres
    Won
    San Diego Padres
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 18?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$25.42
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$14.01
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$8.49
  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    JD Gaming
    Won
    JD Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Dalila Jakupovic
    Won
    Dalila Jakupovic
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Dalila Jakupovic+$294.43
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Marcelina Podlinska-$292.50
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Marcelina Podlinska-$144.55
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$18.06
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Down+$0.12
    • A
      iwdosadLast traded
      Down+$38.95
  • XRP Up or Down - August 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Trump announce Stephen Hahn as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    73%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CarLast traded
      No+$1.12
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No-$0.02
    • A
      cry.eth2Last traded
      Yes+$65.69
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C or higher on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 16, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 32,912 more positions across 2,358 markets on this day.