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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bale Dalton be the FL-07 Democratic nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      qwe258Last traded
      Under+$1.58
    • A
      ReformedxLast traded
      Under+$92.43
    • B
      poersLast traded
      Under+$84.18

  • Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$163.43
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$67.87
    • S
      Flawed-TranceLast traded
      Over+$2.57

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Atlanta Braves
    Won
    Minnesota Twins
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Manuel Plunger vs Adrian Oetzbach

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Adrian Oetzbach
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Manuel Plunger-$4.44
    • A
      rigorousmonLast traded
      Adrian Oetzbach+$24.68
    • B
      ParttoLast traded
      Adrian Oetzbach+$241.97

  • Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 1PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Luke Murphy be the FL-02 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Krakow Men: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Alan Wazny

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alan Wazny
    Won
    Alan Wazny
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Benito Sanchez Martinez-$618.81
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Alan Wazny+$335.07
    • B
      NeedForDeadLast traded
      Alan Wazny+$153.36

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$95.64
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$5.10
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$4.93

  • Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SPARTA
    Won
    SPARTA
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Celtic FC 1 - 2 LASK Linz?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$90.86
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$22.07
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$21.38

  • Exact Score: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 3 - 1 Sabah FK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$31.18
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$28.39
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$3.20

  • Counter-Strike: GenOne vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    GenOne
    Won
    GenOne
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      GenOne+$23.97
    • S
      qwe258Last traded
      GenOne+$0.95
    • A
      bingbardLast traded
      GenOne+$65.43

  • Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Drip Too Hard
    Won
    HyperSpirit
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 9PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$20.38
    • S
      Sharky6999Last traded
      Up+$17.48
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$11.06

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Byron Donalds finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Reid Rasner be the WY-AL Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      buoysLast traded
      Yes-$60.83
    • A
      smallreceiptLast traded
      No-$16.90
    • A
      AJSVLast traded
      Yes+$4.37

  • Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      MrNoItAllLast traded
      No+$42.61
    • A
      Hakei.Last traded
      No+$9.56
    • A
      AJSVLast traded
      No-$3.75

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 32,912 more positions across 2,358 markets on this day.

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