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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Won
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No-$0.72
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      No-$2.03
    • B
      MetamonLast traded
      No+$1.23

  • Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Jeddah Saudi Club
    Won
    Al Kholood Saudi Club
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      Jeddah Saudi Club-$2,189.23
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Jeddah Saudi Club-$1,988.80
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Al Kholood Saudi Club+$1,620.98

  • Will Hyperliquid reach $72 in August?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Justin Story be the Republican nominee for FL-09?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Athletics
    Won
    Athletics
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportivo Riestra AFBC vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata: Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Deportivo Riestra AFBC vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$870.38
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes+$10.49
    • A
      LSB1Last traded
      Yes+$58.62

  • CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$90.97
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$73.94
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$35.62

  • S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 19?

    Right

    SPX

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$821.15
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Under-$131.20
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Over+$45.33

  • FC Barcelona vs. AL Ahly SC (EGY): 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz: Celtic FC 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Vasco Leote Prata vs Jeffrey Fradkin

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Vasco Leote Prata
    Won
    Vasco Leote Prata
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Vasco Leote Prata+$1,011.92
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Jeffrey Fradkin-$91.30
    • A
      Pan9XLast traded
      Vasco Leote Prata+$41.43

  • Mamelodi Sundowns vs. Marumo Gallants FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK Mash AL Mubarek vs. FC Andijon: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Detroit Tigers
    Won
    Detroit Tigers
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Detroit Tigers+$772.50
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Pittsburgh Pirates-$159.17
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Detroit Tigers+$140.85

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Attila Dominik Boros vs Benedikt Szerencsits

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Benedikt Szerencsits
    Won
    Benedikt Szerencsits
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Benedikt Szerencsits+$278.50
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Benedikt Szerencsits+$29.20
    • A
      yorius27Last traded
      Attila Dominik Boros-$967.57

  • Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Paniónios GSS win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Onyu Choi vs Aunchisa Chanta

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Aunchisa Chanta
    Won
    Aunchisa Chanta
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Down-$627.40
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$14.40
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$7.11

  • Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will PFK Mash AL Mubarek win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Vietnam vs. Malaysia: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Tolima vs. Independiente del Valle: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Washington Nationals
    Won
    Texas Rangers
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Washington Nationals-$974.61
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Texas Rangers+$418.19
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Washington Nationals-$103.45

  • FC Barcelona leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gejbrLast traded
      Over+$212.10
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Under-$151.30
    • S
      ameisgoat11Last traded
      Under-$17.12

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 19?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Vietnam vs. Malaysia: Malaysia O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Under+$747.25
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$614.36
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$70.64

  • ITF M25 Santander Men: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Sergi Fita Juan

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sergi Fita Juan
    Won
    Sergi Fita Juan
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Pedro Vives Marcos-$214.27
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Sergi Fita Juan+$69.87
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Pedro Vives Marcos-$332.90

  • ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Joao Dinis Silva vs Fabrizio Andaloro

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Fabrizio Andaloro
    Won
    Fabrizio Andaloro
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      fortunekingLast traded
      Fabrizio Andaloro+$151.97
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Fabrizio Andaloro+$131.85
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Joao Dinis Silva+$20.31

  • MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$385.82
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Over+$151.03
    • S
      ARocky33Last traded
      Over+$2.70

  • Brittney Griner: Rebounds O/U 5.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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