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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
2,211 right562 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
11,922

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Emma Navarro
    Won
    Jessica Pegula
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Emma Navarro+$2,185.61
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Emma Navarro-$1,761.28
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Emma Navarro-$1,404.34

  • Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$2,490.39
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      No+$555
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Yes-$338.03

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$140.22
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$58.22
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$53.63

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$118.32
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$107.23
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$31.11

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$1,881.58
    • S
      NordhavenCapLast traded
      No+$1,030.31
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$811.36

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 18?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Impressive-SteakLast traded
      Yes+$12,923.24
    • S
      Last traded
      Yes+$3,522.19
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Yes+$3,234.17

  • Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Hynek Barton

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Chun-Hsin Tseng
    Won
    Chun-Hsin Tseng
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Chun-Hsin Tseng+$5,345.46
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Chun-Hsin Tseng+$2,749.06
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Chun-Hsin Tseng+$587.55

  • Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Leo Team
    Won
    ex-RUSTEC
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Peter Makk

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
    Won
    Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida+$1,294.18
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Peter Makk-$1,019.66
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Peter Makk+$252.21

  • Roehampton: Matteo Martineau vs Lui Maxted

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lui Maxted
    Won
    Lui Maxted
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Matteo Martineau-$2,363.49
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Matteo Martineau-$922.38
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Lui Maxted+$493.22

  • Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SPARTA
    Won
    SPARTA
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Ognjen Milic vs Lucio Ratti

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lucio Ratti
    Won
    Lucio Ratti
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Thailand win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$3,154.61
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$2,470.61
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$1,311.97

  • Prague 2: Filip Jianu vs Andrej Martin

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Andrej Martin
    Won
    Filip Jianu
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Andrej Martin-$4,035.98
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Andrej Martin-$1,742.74
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Andrej Martin-$996.80

  • Sion: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Juan Estevez

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Geoffrey Blancaneaux
    Won
    Geoffrey Blancaneaux
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$308.99
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$237.40
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$195.10

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up-$157.56
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$149.99
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down+$143.93

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$118.10
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$38.48
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Up+$18.37

  • Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-08-18?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Olympique Lyonnais leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Federica Sacco

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jessica Pieri
    Won
    Jessica Pieri
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HVABLast traded
      Jessica Pieri+$4,879
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Jessica Pieri+$4,001.04
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Federica Sacco-$2,607.64

  • SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,774.70
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$792.49
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$507.25

  • Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Chicago Cubs
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down-$598.09
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$244.73
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$211.69

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Marvin Moeller

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Dimitar Kuzmanov
    Won
    Dimitar Kuzmanov
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Dimitar Kuzmanov+$9,465.47
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Dimitar Kuzmanov+$2,023.06
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Dimitar Kuzmanov+$1,553.10

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Quebec City: Dusan Lajovic vs Taro Daniel

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Dusan Lajovic
    Won
    Taro Daniel
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,841 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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