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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
2,211 right562 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
11,922

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$1,815.12
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$1,631.22
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$1,349.08

  • Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Billy Blaydes

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Michael Geerts
    Won
    Michael Geerts
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Michael Geerts+$1,209.56
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Michael Geerts+$1,163.63
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Michael Geerts+$836.90

  • Will UD Almería win on 2026-08-17?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Luca Staeheli vs Andrey Chepelev

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Andrey Chepelev
    Won
    Luca Staeheli
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Luca Staeheli+$887.05
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Andrey Chepelev-$621.52
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Andrey Chepelev-$566.85

  • Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MOUZ NXT
    Won
    MOUZ NXT
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Over+$5,543.37
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Under-$5,169.82
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$1,508.34

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Won
    Baltimore Orioles
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Dallas Wings
    Won
    Golden State Valkyries
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group D

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    ex-RUSTEC
    Won
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Juan Pablo Ficovich

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Juan Pablo Ficovich
    Won
    Juan Carlos Prado
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Juan Carlos Prado+$3,867.59
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Juan Pablo Ficovich-$1,825.21
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Juan Pablo Ficovich-$1,067.49

  • CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$3,607.93
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$2,114.40
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$730.95

  • Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    San Diego Padres
    Won
    San Diego Padres
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$2,259.83
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$2,108.37
    • S
      Flawed-TranceLast traded
      Over+$1,287.92

  • Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Galions
    Won
    Galions
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Fire Flux Esports
    Won
    Fire Flux Esports
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis - Game 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    BOMBA Team
    Won
    Lodis
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      BOMBA Team-$1,370.28
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Lodis+$133.99
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      BOMBA Team+$24.58

  • LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BOMBA Team
    Won
    BOMBA Team
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$99.32
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$62.09
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$26.52

  • Cancun: Felix Balshaw vs Alejandro Moro Canas

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alejandro Moro Canas
    Won
    Alejandro Moro Canas
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Alejandro Moro Canas+$1,881.83
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Felix Balshaw-$1,698.04
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Alejandro Moro Canas+$1,066.74

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Dane Sweeny

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jesper de Jong
    Won
    Jesper de Jong
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Jesper de Jong+$19,057.54
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Jesper de Jong+$6,590.52
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Jesper de Jong+$3,723.04

  • Will CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador win on 2026-08-17?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-08-17?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$2,352.17
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,314.61
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$791.94

  • GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$4,012.96
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$2,037.96
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Over-$1,138.21

  • Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$1,191.65
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Under+$861.91
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$405.98

  • San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Valentin Royer
    Won
    Valentin Royer
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Luis Guto Miguel-$968.09
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Valentin Royer+$202.51
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Valentin Royer-$195.76

  • Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    WRAITH PCIFIC
    Won
    WRAITH PCIFIC
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Vexar - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Won
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$17.02
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No-$0.18
    • A
      HondaCivicLast traded
      Yes-$159.67

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 18?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Quebec City: Andrea Pellegrino vs Nishesh Basavareddy

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Nishesh Basavareddy
    Won
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Nishesh Basavareddy-$9,820.53
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Nishesh Basavareddy-$3,632.94
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Nishesh Basavareddy-$1,040.55

11,841 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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