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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
2,211 right562 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
11,922

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Golden State Valkyries
    Won
    Golden State Valkyries
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Golden State Valkyries+$1,201.62
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Golden State Valkyries+$942.54
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Golden State Valkyries+$874.39

  • Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Galions
    Won
    Galions
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Galions+$348.97
    • S
      trgparkingLast traded
      Karmine Corp Blue-$143.31
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Galions+$136.98

  • Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-08-17?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$424.91
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$322.24
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$253.95

  • Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MASONIC
    Won
    MASONIC
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-08-17?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,478.64
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes-$635.35
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$419.30

  • Cancun: David Jorda Sanchis vs Alan Magadan

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alan Magadan
    Won
    Alan Magadan
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Thailand vs. Singapore: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Quebec City: Jurij Rodionov vs Rei Sakamoto

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Rei Sakamoto
    Won
    Rei Sakamoto
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Rei Sakamoto+$2,200.55
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Rei Sakamoto+$1,532.52
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Rei Sakamoto+$920.31

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Miami Marlins
    Won
    Miami Marlins
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Miami Marlins+$3,901.18
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Miami Marlins+$1,165.40
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Miami Marlins+$765

  • Quebec City: James Watt vs Ugo Blanchet

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ugo Blanchet
    Won
    Ugo Blanchet
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Ugo Blanchet+$11,178.43
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      James Watt-$7,840.13
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Ugo Blanchet+$3,315.67

  • Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Metizport
    Won
    Metizport
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    22%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Jay Clarke vs Clement Chidekh

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Jay Clarke
    Won
    Clement Chidekh
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix
    Won
    ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$332.16
    • S
      GoodFallenLast traded
      Up+$23.57
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$21.65

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$347.13
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down-$321.83
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up+$37.17

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Bayern Munich (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Bayern Munich
    Won
    Bayern Munich
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      1. FC Heidenheim-$3,199.95
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      1. FC Heidenheim-$2,748.32
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Bayern Munich+$1,550.12

  • Sion: Benjamin Hassan vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Benjamin Hassan
    Won
    Benjamin Hassan
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Benjamin Hassan+$950.63
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Benjamin Hassan+$451.46
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Oleksandr Ovcharenko-$367.48

  • Prague 2: Matias Soto vs Rudolf Molleker

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Rudolf Molleker
    Won
    Rudolf Molleker
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 18?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Gentle Mates GC
    Won
    Gentle Mates GC
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • 1. FC Heidenheim vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Group B

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ReThink
    Won
    ReThink
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W50 Prague Women: Denisa Zoldakova vs Aran Teixido Garcia

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Denisa Zoldakova
    Won
    Denisa Zoldakova
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Denisa Zoldakova+$1,235.26
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Aran Teixido Garcia-$780.97
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Denisa Zoldakova+$669.36

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    HAVU
    Won
    HAVU
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Sebastian Ofner

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Sebastian Ofner
    Won
    Roman Safiullin
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,841 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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