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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
2,211 right562 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
11,922

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      Yes-$100.23
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes-$0.77
    • A
      0botLast traded
      No+$172.20

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Ei Nerd Esports
    Won
    Ei Nerd Esports
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Ei Nerd Esports+$118.85
    • S
      Harmonious-FogLast traded
      paiN Gaming Academy-$56.33
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Ei Nerd Esports+$0.83

  • CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$1,693.21
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Under-$1,293.95
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$1,014.84

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No-$91.60
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No-$76.90
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No-$39.78

  • ITF W50 Prague Women: Nastasja Schunk vs Gaeul Jang

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nastasja Schunk
    Won
    Nastasja Schunk
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Gaeul Jang-$4,202.14
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Nastasja Schunk+$1,381.19
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Nastasja Schunk+$553.06

  • Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Olympique Lyonnais
    Won
    Olympique Lyonnais
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Olympique Lyonnais+$643.20
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Fenerbahçe SK-$505.28
    • S
      Adorable-AcquaintanceLast traded
      Olympique Lyonnais+$271.45

  • Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Metizport
    Won
    Metizport
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Up-$1,321.82
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$191.56
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$140.71

  • LoL: 3v Team vs LYON Academy (BO5) - LRN Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    3v Team
    Won
    3v Team
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Murkel Dellien vs Ryan Nijboer

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ryan Nijboer
    Won
    Ryan Nijboer
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 1 Winner

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Nino Ehrenschneider vs Kai Wehnelt

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kai Wehnelt
    Won
    Kai Wehnelt
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Dynasty
    Won
    Dynasty
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: 3v Team vs LYON Academy - Game 3 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    3v Team
    Won
    3v Team
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      3v Team-$136.98
    • S
      antecLast traded
      3v Team+$105.58
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      LYON Academy-$83.52

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$41.54
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$39.07
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$24.99

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Metizport vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SPARTA
    Won
    SPARTA
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-08-18?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Georgii Kravchenko vs Jeffrey von der Schulenburg

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jeffrey von der Schulenburg
    Won
    Jeffrey von der Schulenburg
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Jeffrey von der Schulenburg+$2,598.61
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Jeffrey von der Schulenburg+$395.33
    • S
      flatbarrelLast traded
      Jeffrey von der Schulenburg+$332.28

  • LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Ei Nerd Esports
    Won
    Ei Nerd Esports
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago Cubs
    Won
    Chicago Cubs
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Facundo Mena vs Juan Manuel La Serna

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Facundo Mena
    Won
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Facundo Mena-$385.86
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Facundo Mena-$342.56
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Juan Manuel La Serna+$221.58

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Thailand vs. Singapore: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton: Fares Zakaria vs Alex Rybakov

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alex Rybakov
    Won
    Alex Rybakov
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$901.60
    • S
      bluddLast traded
      Over-$310.32
    • S
      GordinhoDoAlfaLast traded
      Under+$273.13

  • Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Mai Tai (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    ENCE
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,841 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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