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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
2,211 right562 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
11,922

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will San Luis de Quillota win on 2026-08-17?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Singapore win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$16,060.88
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes+$6,925.29
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes+$2,947.94

  • Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Dallas Wings
    Won
    Golden State Valkyries
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Dallas Wings-$8,788.35
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Dallas Wings-$5,568.91
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      Dallas Wings-$1,587.21

  • PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Aguilar
    Won
    Fritz
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Aguilar-$372.25
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Aguilar-$99.82
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Fritz+$23.81

  • CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,807.33
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$842.90
    • S
      NordhavenCapLast traded
      Yes+$235.97

  • CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$267.90
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$197.25
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$167.45

  • Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Taipei Men: Tsung-Hao Huang vs Keisuke Saitoh

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Tsung-Hao Huang
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,757.29
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$477.88
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$138.79

  • Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    G2 Gozen
    Won
    G2 Gozen
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      rushiyaLast traded
      G2 Gozen+$164.50
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      FOKUS Sakura+$97.55
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      G2 Gozen+$36.56

  • KBO: Doosan Bears vs. NC Dinos

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    NC Dinos
    Won
    Doosan Bears
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Taipei Men: Koki Matsuda vs Chen Hui Ho

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Chen Hui Ho
    Won
    Chen Hui Ho
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Chen Hui Ho+$2,145.21
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Koki Matsuda-$152.58
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Koki Matsuda-$91.86

  • GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vitality Academy
    Won
    Vitality Academy
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Prague 2: Oleksii Krutykh vs Daniel Siniakov

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Oleksii Krutykh
    Won
    Oleksii Krutykh
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Daniel Siniakov-$1,568.87
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Oleksii Krutykh+$83.23
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Daniel Siniakov-$81.02

  • ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Maria Kalyakina vs Dabin Kim

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Dabin Kim
    Won
    Dabin Kim
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions

    No consensus

    Baseball

    Won
    SSG Landers
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Liam Draxl vs Andres Andrade

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Andres Andrade
    Won
    Andres Andrade
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NightBirds
    Won
    NightBirds
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$430.82
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$21.08
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$18.47

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix
    Won
    ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MOUZ NXT
    Won
    MOUZ NXT
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs OG (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group D

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    OG
    Won
    OG
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No+$89.06
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$32.39
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      Yes-$336.26

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    92%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$216.57
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$47.32
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$46.80

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$37.28
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$35.06
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$20

  • Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Omega
    Won
    Fire Flux Esports
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,841 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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