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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
2,211 right562 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
11,922

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$1,792.09
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$1,472.29
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$690.99

  • Sion: Kai Wehnelt vs Calvin Hemery

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Calvin Hemery
    Won
    Calvin Hemery
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will 1. FC Heidenheim vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Quebec City: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Yunchaokete Bu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
    Won
    Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Nicolai Budkov Kjaer+$1,170.36
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Nicolai Budkov Kjaer+$1,155.01
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Nicolai Budkov Kjaer+$452.77

  • ITF W35 Verbier Women: Angella Okutoyi vs Laia Petretic

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Laia Petretic
    Won
    Angella Okutoyi
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Laia Petretic-$3,412.02
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Angella Okutoyi+$509.42
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Laia Petretic-$422.94

  • Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Clube do Remo
    Won
    Clube do Remo
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Clube do Remo+$816.64
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Clube do Remo+$520.62
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Clube do Remo+$128.48

  • Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-08-18?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Kiwoom Heroes
    Won
    Lotte Giants
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$425.41
    • S
      NordhavenCapLast traded
      Over+$206.41
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under-$163.83

  • Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Cincinnati Reds
    Won
    Cincinnati Reds
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Forsaken
    Won
    Forsaken
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Orbit Anonymo-$411.95
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Forsaken+$268.99
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Forsaken+$71.15

  • Will CA Talleres win on 2026-08-17?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$468.23
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$269.80
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$234.88

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Raphael Perot

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Dominic Stephan Stricker
    Won
    Dominic Stephan Stricker
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Raphael Perot-$474.82
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Raphael Perot-$162.99
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Dominic Stephan Stricker+$143.61

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HAVU - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    HAVU
    Won
    HAVU
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs RMD Gaming (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Estral Esports
    Won
    Estral Esports
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Evan Zhu vs Pedro Martinez

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Pedro Martinez
    Won
    Pedro Martinez
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    SPARTA
    Won
    MOUZ NXT
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sion: Mika Brunold vs Patrick Zahraj

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mika Brunold
    Won
    Mika Brunold
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$1,722.47
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$814.40
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Yes+$725.74

  • Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Radu Albot
    Won
    Radu Albot
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,841 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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