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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Hanshin Tigers vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Hanshin Tigers
    Won
    Hanshin Tigers
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Tokyo Yakult Swallows-$580
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Hanshin Tigers+$82.65
    • S
      Dimkov27Last traded
      Hanshin Tigers+$78.80

  • Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Athletics
    Won
    Kansas City Royals
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$135.07
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$87.15
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$7.93

  • Exact Score: CF Pachuca 1 - 1 Club Puebla?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$178.80
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$28.75
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$28.01

  • ITF W35 Verbier Women: Karolina Kozakova vs Emma Mazzoni

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Karolina Kozakova
    Won
    Karolina Kozakova
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Emma Mazzoni-$50.71
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Karolina Kozakova+$40.92
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Karolina Kozakova+$425.35

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Fenerbahçe SK
    Won
    Olympique Lyonnais
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      PPMTLast traded
      No+$5.58
    • B
      AlexD87Last traded
      No+$367.78
    • B
      0xd358…cfbdLast traded
      Yes-$95.95

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sporting FC vs. Escorpiones de Belén: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs G2 Gozen - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FOKUS Sakura
    Won
    FOKUS Sakura
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Walton

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Walton
    Won
    Walton
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Walton+$191.59
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Faria-$52
    • A
      hihheLast traded
      Walton+$2.63

  • GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Orix Buffaloes

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Won
    Saitama Seibu Lions
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Orix Buffaloes-$526.57
    • S
      heatwave0521Last traded
      Saitama Seibu Lions+$42.18
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      Saitama Seibu Lions+$0.12

  • Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Bianca Elena Barbulescu vs Marta Lombardini

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Marta Lombardini
    Won
    Marta Lombardini
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Marta Lombardini+$364.77
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Bianca Elena Barbulescu-$250.34
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Marta Lombardini+$64.67

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Krakow Women: Megan Heuser vs Daria Kuczer

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Megan Heuser
    Won
    Megan Heuser
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Alexandra Eala vs. Amanda Anisimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Under 2.5
    Won
    Over 2.5
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Stephens (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Stephens
    Won
    Kostyuk
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      rushiyaLast traded
      Kostyuk+$113.45
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Stephens-$105.67
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Stephens-$152.71

  • Will SD Raiders FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CF Pachuca 2 - 2 Club Puebla?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$202.09
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$17.33
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$5.07

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: Draw at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CSD Macara vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$131.76
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$105.98
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Over+$4.65

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 17?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,042 more positions across 1,283 markets on this day.

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