Skip to content
Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • ICC Men's T20 World Cup Europe Sub Regional Qualifier C: Bulgaria vs Spain

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    Spain
    Won
    Spain
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Leo Team
    Won
    Leo Team
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Leo Team+$35.35
    • S
      DonkooLast traded
      Leo Team+$24.99
    • S
      AbsingLast traded
      Leo Team+$24.79

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • 1. FC Heidenheim leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$2,166.37
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$568.36
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Yes+$1.25

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Fenerbahçe SK
    Won
    Fenerbahçe SK
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$1.68
    • A
      PPMTLast traded
      No+$1.19
    • B
      AndreaPirloLast traded
      No+$54.44

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Valentino Grippo vs Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto
    Won
    Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Valentino Grippo+$151.42
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto+$1.25
    • A
      ZeljkoLast traded
      Valentino Grippo-$501.75

  • Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-RUSTEC
    Won
    ex-RUSTEC
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Slovenj Gradec Men: Bruno Fernandez vs Stefan Popovic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Stefan Popovic
    Won
    Stefan Popovic
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Bruno Fernandez-$399.80
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Stefan Popovic+$102.01
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Stefan Popovic+$91.14

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 18?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      2B9SLast traded
      No-$155.76
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Yes+$30.07
    • A
      VasiliSkoLast traded
      Yes+$9.88

  • Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club León FC O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SC Internacional 1 - 2 Clube do Remo?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$103.11
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$5.66
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$2.74

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 17?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Corey Craig vs Santiago De la Fuente

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Santiago De la Fuente
    Won
    Santiago De la Fuente
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Chicago Cubs-$730.64
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Chicago White Sox+$652.66
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Chicago Cubs-$106.04

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Club Necaxa 3 - 1 Club León FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$39.02
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$38.28
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$19.49

  • LoL: mCon esports vs Myth Esports - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    mCon esports
    Won
    Myth Esports
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      calculate10Last traded
      mCon esports-$188.10
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      mCon esports-$144.83
    • S
      newwmanLast traded
      Myth Esports+$64.89

  • Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Borges
    Won
    Borges
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BejingOlympicsLast traded
      Borges+$146.73
    • A
      clownlyLast traded
      Rublev-$109.47
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      Borges+$0.61

  • Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Tjen (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Andreeva
    Won
    Andreeva
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CSD Macara vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$496.96
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$90.29
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$4.90

  • 1. FC Heidenheim vs. Bayern Munich: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$100.62
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$98.43
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$0.98

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bushido Wildcats
    Won
    Bushido Wildcats
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Krakow Women: Miriana Tona vs Ariana Geerlings

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ariana Geerlings
    Won
    Ariana Geerlings
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 3 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$49.63
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$6.59
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$4.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 0 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$74.68
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$57.01
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$9.12

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CD Palestino vs. CD Huachipato end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$87.21
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$38.72
    • S
      WagerWizardLast traded
      No+$1.49

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,042 more positions across 1,283 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs