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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs STATE - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    STATE
    Won
    STATE
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 17?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W50 Prague Women: Mayuka Aikawa vs Barbora Michalkova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mayuka Aikawa
    Won
    Mayuka Aikawa
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Singapore (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Thailand
    Won
    Thailand
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sporting FC vs. Escorpiones de Belén end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$64.57
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes-$29.30
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$10.63

  • Exact Score: Club Necaxa 1 - 1 Club León FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$99.28
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$57.98
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$41.64

  • Counter-Strike: Metizport vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Metizport
    Won
    Metizport
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Janice Tjen vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Under 2.5
    Won
    Under 2.5
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Under 2.5+$2.72
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Under 2.5+$26
    • A
      yeageristLast traded
      Under 2.5+$1.63

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: MVSK Secret vs :3 (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MVSK Secret
    Won
    MVSK Secret
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Santander Men: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Carles Cordoba

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Carles Cordoba
    Won
    Carlos Sanchez Jover
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Carlos Sanchez Jover+$129.21
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Carles Cordoba-$1.42
    • A
      0x87f7…8f45Last traded
      Carles Cordoba-$70.79

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Krakow Women: Karolina Mrazikova vs Sofia Shapatava

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Karolina Mrazikova
    Won
    Sofia Shapatava
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Karolina Mrazikova-$887.11
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Sofia Shapatava+$117.91
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Sofia Shapatava+$1,131.59

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 2 Winner: Gauff vs Li

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Gauff
    Won
    Gauff
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?

    Right

    Earnings

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Thailand 0 - 2 Singapore?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$29.34
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$20.75
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$20

  • Will Deportes Recoleta win on 2026-08-17?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$151.06
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$60.71
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$55.99

  • Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Boston Red Sox
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Thailand 3 - 2 Singapore?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Maksim Despotovic vs Rodrigo Varillas

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Maksim Despotovic
    Won
    Maksim Despotovic
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      MarquisDeMottLast traded
      Maksim Despotovic+$0.69
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Maksim Despotovic+$0.19
    • A
      temparalLast traded
      Maksim Despotovic+$2.90

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SC Internacional 1 - 3 Clube do Remo?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$7.17
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$5.38
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$4.52

  • Roehampton: Filip Peliwo vs Charles Broom

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Charles Broom
    Won
    Charles Broom
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 3 Viking FK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$61.44
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$24.98
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$24.47

  • ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Margot Phanthala vs Sunam Jeong

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sunam Jeong
    Won
    Sunam Jeong
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Sunam Jeong+$1,156.79
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      Margot Phanthala-$347.11
    • A
      Notable-CarrierLast traded
      Margot Phanthala-$845.43

  • Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Al Nassr Saudi Club
    Won
    Al Nassr Saudi Club
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Al Nassr Saudi Club+$15,059.95
    • S
      thatsabing0Last traded
      Al Nassr Saudi Club+$0.06
    • A
      sslavagaLast traded
      Al Nassr Saudi Club+$352.38

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$1,689.76
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$1,100.74
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Under+$28.50

  • ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Lidia Encheva

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lidia Encheva
    Won
    Lidia Encheva
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Lidia Encheva+$1,121.20
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Lidia Encheva+$133.14
    • A
      HarryRitterLast traded
      Ksenia Zaytseva-$89.35

  • Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CSyD Defensa y Justicia
    Won
    CSyD Defensa y Justicia
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      CSyD Defensa y Justicia+$1,463.79
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      CSyD Defensa y Justicia+$149.64
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      CSyD Defensa y Justicia+$939.73

  • Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Katarina Zavatska vs Gabriela Ce

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Gabriela Ce
    Won
    Katarina Zavatska
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Gabriela Ce-$1,381.90
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Gabriela Ce-$61.46
    • A
      clownlyLast traded
      Gabriela Ce-$210

  • Spread: SC Internacional (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Clube do Remo
    Won
    Clube do Remo
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Clube do Remo+$126.47
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Clube do Remo+$6.57
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Clube do Remo+$27.29

  • ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Vardan Manukyan

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Vardan Manukyan
    Won
    Alvaro Peiro Serrano
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Vardan Manukyan-$1,373.69
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Vardan Manukyan-$189.61
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Alvaro Peiro Serrano+$233.36

  • Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Hijikata (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mensik
    Won
    Mensik
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ferroviaria Araraquara SP vs. Paysandu SC PA: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$1,432.73
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$149.21
    • A
      Makila10Last traded
      Over+$13.31

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    SPARTA
    Won
    MOUZ NXT
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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