Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 87% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 14,695
- No consensus
- 13,105
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$210.39
- SLeLynxMalynxLast tradedUnder-$134.79
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$11.49
- Called
- Calvin Mueller
- Won
- Daniel Masur
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 87%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedCalvin Mueller-$1,064.74
- SsentrioLast tradedCalvin Mueller-$35.40
- S38791873984189Last tradedCalvin Mueller+$8.67
- Called
- Imanol Lopez Morillo
- Won
- Imanol Lopez Morillo
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedImanol Lopez Morillo+$466.98
- SRN1Last tradedImanol Lopez Morillo+$219.69
- SPan9XLast tradedImanol Lopez Morillo+$16.26
- Called
- Jiangxue Han
- Won
- Meng Yi Chen
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SsentrioLast tradedJiangxue Han-$861.35
- SRN1Last tradedMeng Yi Chen+$489.21
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedJiangxue Han-$238
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 17?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedYes-$5.62
- AaapangLast tradedYes-$449.55
- BComfortable-SandwichLast tradedYes-$199.27
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sameisgoat11Last tradedUnder-$66.14
- SfunfactsLast tradedOver+$16.91
- Anascent1134513Last tradedOver+$27.21
- Called
- Singapore
- Won
- Singapore
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedSingapore+$97.62
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedSingapore+$21.95
- AMr.MachinesLast tradedSingapore+$429.84
- Called
- Leyton Rivera
- Won
- Nikita Mashtakov
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedLeyton Rivera-$772.86
- S38791873984189Last tradedLeyton Rivera+$27.65
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedNikita Mashtakov+$19.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$543.01
- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown+$99.06
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$78.77
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLeLynxMalynxLast tradedUnder+$137.63
- AGamblingAddict12345Last tradedUnder+$262.17
- Awapol-ELast tradedUnder+$197.95
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$201.87
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$157.53
- A0xc1dA8SO23a3D915E7FcA367bbBFSO4E74DSO27ALast tradedOver+$21.78
- Called
- Chiba Lotte Marines
- Won
- Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedTohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles+$440
- SDimkov27Last tradedChiba Lotte Marines-$61.96
- SghostorderLast tradedChiba Lotte Marines+$18.50
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$560.78
- ScurieLast tradedOver+$91.42
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder-$17.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$22.50
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$474.85
- BLondonBridgeLast tradedUp+$63.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedUp+$6.55
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$278.59
- Agambler9018Last tradedDown-$258.64
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$786.18
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$470.59
- SRock.SanLast tradedOver+$2.46
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$299.39
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$151.37
- SsentrioLast tradedUnder+$14.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$399.36
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$109.28
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$31.78
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedYes+$620.58
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes+$44.50
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo-$13.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedUp-$7.87
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$275.83
- BethyydszLast tradedDown+$223.64
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$280.56
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$14.19
- AMakila10Last tradedOver+$120.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedUp-$326.31
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$122.58
- Ac4acapLast tradedDown+$10.16
- Called
- Metizport
- Won
- Metizport
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedMetizport+$413.40
- SBillBenter2026Last tradedMetizport+$26.23
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedMetizport+$5.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$342.28
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedUp-$2.61
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$106.05
- Called
- Radka Zelnickova
- Won
- Radka Zelnickova
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedRadka Zelnickova+$1,426.81
- S38791873984189Last tradedRadka Zelnickova+$112.89
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedBarbara Straszewska-$1,098.41
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$415.43
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedUp+$0.39
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$37.71
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$188.89
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$180.84
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedYes-$113.74
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown+$99.06
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDown+$2.40
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$385.76
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo-$80.91
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$70.68
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$371.46
- Called
- Kansas City Royals
- Won
- Kansas City Royals
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedKansas City Royals+$192.61
- ScurieLast tradedKansas City Royals+$170.13
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedKansas City Royals+$70.02
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$180
- SLeLynxMalynxLast tradedUnder-$65.56
- AclownlyLast tradedUnder-$234.30
- Won
- Eunyeong Park
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedFang An Lin-$400.55
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedEunyeong Park+$48.51
- AqrupLast tradedFang An Lin-$154
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 85%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedYes+$80.24
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedNo-$456.11
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$22.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$312.50
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDown-$1.10
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$76.71
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$286.16
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$15.18
- BGlamorous-IntuitionLast tradedUp-$105.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$106.40
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDown-$5.52
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$189.51
- Called
- Nikola Slavic
- Won
- Stefan Seifert
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedNikola Slavic-$159.67
- SRN1Last tradedStefan Seifert+$23.72
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNikola Slavic-$4.56
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedYes-$8.87
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$4.20
- Bpo1yqtdotcomLast tradedYes-$224.92
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo-$147.64
- AsunsityLast tradedNo-$99.07
- AsslavagaLast tradedNo-$66.14
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$341.03
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver-$164.49
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$12.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$201.39
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDown-$12.62
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$35.80
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$107.74
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder-$170.89
- ACactus-001Last tradedOver+$0.29
- Called
- Nicolas Bruna
- Won
- Nicolas Villalon Valdes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNicolas Bruna-$219.95
- S38791873984189Last tradedNicolas Villalon Valdes+$152.43
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedNicolas Bruna-$62.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$166.12
- AEn111006Last tradedDown+$107.79
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$61.81
- Called
- Samuele Seghetti
- Won
- Samuele Seghetti
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedSamuele Seghetti-$228.42
- S38791873984189Last tradedSamuele Seghetti+$27.62
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedGianmarco Ferrari-$213.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$14.55
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$216.57
- BLondonBridgeLast tradedUp+$68.39
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$431.72
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$173.63
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedNo+$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$75.76
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedUp-$8.61
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$42.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$138.85
- AEn111006Last tradedUp-$106.18
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$40.58
13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 11,042 more positions across 1,283 markets on this day.