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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • PFK Levski Sofia leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Jabalain Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Won
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 18?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      wagonwheelLast traded
      Down+$233.48
    • B
      MussiaLast traded
      Up-$133.20
    • B
      0xblockedLast traded
      Up+$90.29

  • ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Chelsea Fontenel vs Katerina Tsygourova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Chelsea Fontenel
    Won
    Chelsea Fontenel
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Chelsea Fontenel-$75.93
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Chelsea Fontenel+$69.18
    • A
      HarryRitterLast traded
      Katerina Tsygourova-$203.40

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Nassr Saudi Club leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Logrono Women: Paula Cembranos vs Iveta Dapkute

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Paula Cembranos
    Won
    Paula Cembranos
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Paula Cembranos+$204.04
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Paula Cembranos+$80.68
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Paula Cembranos+$36.87

  • Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: AEK O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$163.72
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under+$137.23
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$106.54

  • Exact Score: CF Pachuca 0 - 1 Club Puebla?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$243.52
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$58.31
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$52.60

  • ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Ognjen Jagrovic

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Ognjen Jagrovic
    Won
    Mario Arce Fernandez
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Ognjen Jagrovic-$237.15
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Mario Arce Fernandez-$100.30
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Ognjen Jagrovic+$91.65

  • ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Alesia Breaz vs Ilinca Sagmar

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ilinca Sagmar
    Won
    Ilinca Sagmar
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alesia Breaz-$366.06
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Ilinca Sagmar+$302.99
    • S
      chicken123455Last traded
      Ilinca Sagmar+$2.86

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Taipei Men: Yen-Chun Wang vs Kuan-Shou Chen

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Yen-Chun Wang
    Won
    Kuan-Shou Chen
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yen-Chun Wang-$192.48
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yen-Chun Wang-$45.70
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Kuan-Shou Chen+$80.14

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Slovenj Gradec Men: Henry Best vs Alex Ganchev

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alex Ganchev
    Won
    Alex Ganchev
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Henry Best-$162.67
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Alex Ganchev+$137.46
    • S
      ilovetennisLast traded
      Alex Ganchev+$5.70

  • Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Thailand vs. Singapore: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SK Nebula
    Won
    SK Nebula
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Qizilqum Zarafshon win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Rush vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group B

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Rush
    Won
    Rush
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 2 - 1 AEK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$87.50
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$77.14
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$5.91

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Logrono Women: Isabel Pascual Montalvo vs Freya Peet

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Isabel Pascual Montalvo
    Won
    Isabel Pascual Montalvo
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Freya Peet-$32.90
    • A
      NeedForDeadLast traded
      Isabel Pascual Montalvo+$190.82
    • A
      temparalLast traded
      Isabel Pascual Montalvo+$7.30

  • Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Zheng
    Won
    Musetti
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Musetti+$253.10
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Zheng-$0.89
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Zheng-$225.03

  • CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SC Internacional leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      No-$113.42
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$46.21
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes+$5.32

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$76.65
    • B
      psccoLast traded
      Up+$117.04
    • B
      CLIOCOFFEELast traded
      Up+$101.92

  • Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Gentle Mates GC
    Won
    Gentle Mates GC
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Gentle Mates GC+$76.70
    • A
      BookWarriorLast traded
      Gentle Mates GC+$61.26
    • A
      cbfe5306Last traded
      Gentle Mates GC+$4.74

  • Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 2 - 2 AEK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$10.90
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$2.20
    • A
      dizzyLast traded
      No+$125.98

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Meavedron vs Bohemian Guardians (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Bohemian Guardians
    Won
    Meavedron
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs Strael-Bora (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    The Last Resort
    Won
    The Last Resort
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Escorpiones de Belén win on 2026-08-17?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,042 more positions across 1,283 markets on this day.

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