Skip to content
Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Draw at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$36.81
    • S
      LonnieHawkinsLast traded
      No-$13.84
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      No+$65.14

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Israel Katz win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over+$23.12
    • A
      0x0dD9Last traded
      Over+$86.58
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Under-$52

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      plainfolderLast traded
      No+$5.35
    • B
      BarNAHLast traded
      Yes-$103.40
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      Yes+$6.83

  • Will Klarna say "Southwest Airlines" during earnings call?

    Right

    Tech

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Bautista de la Pena vs Nathan Cox

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nathan Cox
    Won
    Nathan Cox
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Bautista de la Pena-$184.96
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Nathan Cox+$90.30
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Nathan Cox+$111.05

  • Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      PPMTLast traded
      No-$26.24
    • B
      liq2Last traded
      No-$44.22
    • B
      mtm1mLast traded
      No-$15.02

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$180.46
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under-$75.60
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Over+$388.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Forsaken
    Won
    Forsaken
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ICC Men's T20 World Cup Europe Sub Regional Qualifier C: Germany vs Greece

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    Germany
    Won
    Germany
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Cincinnati Reds
    Won
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Campos do Jordão 2 Women: Virginia Crocker vs Giulia Bajsic Leo

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Virginia Crocker
    Won
    Virginia Crocker
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Virginia Crocker+$331.16
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Giulia Bajsic Leo-$61.90
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Virginia Crocker+$49.17

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Buxoro vs. FK Neftchi Fargona: O/U 5.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 2 - 3 AEK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$49.10
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$4.14
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$1.04

  • Set 1 Winner: Kjaer vs Bu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kjaer
    Won
    Kjaer
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Inner Circle Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle Academy
    Won
    Inner Circle Academy
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      bingbardLast traded
      Inner Circle Academy+$34.98
    • A
      owlgorithm-betaLast traded
      Inner Circle Academy+$0.46
    • A
      kozelblackLast traded
      Inner Circle Academy+$0.44

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 3 Olympique Lyonnais?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$31.20
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$10.89
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$4.26

  • Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CF Pachuca 0 - 2 Club Puebla?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$13.28
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$8.99
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$5.50

  • Al Jabalain Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs MTX (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MTX
    Won
    MTX
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Prague 2: Completed Match: Filip Jianu vs Andrej Martin

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Santiago Giamichelle vs Maxwell Exsted

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Maxwell Exsted
    Won
    Maxwell Exsted
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Santiago Giamichelle-$71.84
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Maxwell Exsted+$30.94
    • A
      temparalLast traded
      Maxwell Exsted+$2.90

  • Prague 2: Completed Match: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    AEK
    Won
    AEK
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,042 more positions across 1,283 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs