Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 87% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 14,695
- No consensus
- 13,105
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- HAVU
- Won
- HAVU
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AkozelblackLast tradedHAVU+$4.70
- Anogame-nolifeLast tradedHAVU+$4.50
- BfcddLast tradedHAVU+$21.82
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AUnequaled-CenterLast tradedUnder+$419.13
- Bjacques-chiracLast tradedOver-$254.90
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedOver-$254.89
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 87%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$19.69
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$17.58
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$0.98
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 47%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$127.56
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$22
- SLeLynxMalynxLast tradedNo+$7.70
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$160.10
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$132.58
- SGC-PLast tradedYes-$6.70
- Called
- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
- Won
- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedLorenzo Gagliardo-$70.45
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo+$41.63
- S38791873984189Last tradedJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo-$14.88
Will Eli Cohen win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes+$11.20
- A613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes+$8.10
- BjohnashboughLast tradedNo-$54.73
- Called
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb
- Won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SWagerWizardLast tradedGNK Dinamo Zagreb+$0.52
- S38791873984189Last tradedGNK Dinamo Zagreb+$0.38
- BWell-Off-MenLast tradedGNK Dinamo Zagreb+$26.59
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in August?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bhr26g2re62deLast tradedNo+$29.58
- BsmellyEllieLast tradedYes+$19.49
- ByougotmeLast tradedYes-$14.67
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$7.74
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$6.60
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$5.79
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMarquisDeMottLast tradedOver+$0.69
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedOver+$56.24
- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder-$31.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$11.06
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$8.16
- B0x8e41faaaaea1b6eae4546eca7713066dc05Last tradedUp-$40.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$104.42
- A9527966Last tradedDown+$5.40
- Ac4acapLast tradedDown+$2.22
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$155.25
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$150.01
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$16.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$27.27
- BLondonBridgeLast tradedUp-$88.07
- BMac4uLast tradedDown+$49.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDown-$0.37
- AEn111006Last tradedDown-$99.67
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$61.63
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$6.85
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$6.42
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$4.24
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$9.52
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$5.30
- AwhynotchocolateLast tradedNo+$1.10
Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$14.87
- SSharky6999Last tradedUp+$0.62
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$7.66
- Called
- Ku Keon Kang
- Won
- Ku Keon Kang
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNatsuki Yamamoto-$69.10
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedKu Keon Kang+$25.91
- S38791873984189Last tradedKu Keon Kang+$9.59
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$187.50
- Afxwd12345Last tradedOver+$188.21
- AWilling-TeacherLast tradedOver+$1.67
- Called
- Kostyuk/Stearns
- Won
- Kostyuk/Stearns
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- AqrupLast tradedKostyuk/Stearns+$348.82
- AkitopesivanLast tradedWilliams/Williams-$258.75
- AsweiseLast tradedWilliams/Williams-$77.06
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AplainfolderLast tradedNo-$7.45
- APPMTLast tradedNo+$3.73
- Brocky42003Last tradedNo+$17.88
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$46.50
- SGC-PLast tradedYes-$26.45
- SNM-PLast tradedYes-$15.42
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$17.54
- SLonnieHawkinsLast tradedOver+$1.38
- ACactus-001Last tradedOver+$1.21
- Called
- Alejandro Juan Mano
- Won
- Alejandro Juan Mano
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedAlejandro Garcia Carbajal-$1.77
- AtemparalLast tradedAlejandro Juan Mano+$4.41
- B0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986cwLast tradedAlejandro Juan Mano+$1.09
- Called
- Mili Poljicak
- Won
- Mili Poljicak
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedMili Poljicak+$34.23
- SRN1Last tradedMili Poljicak-$5.01
- AkitopesivanLast tradedVaal Urankar-$37.17
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$57.28
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$42.44
- SNM-PLast tradedYes-$11.96
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on August 18?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 5
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$6.30
- BLex-tangLast tradedYes-$56.40
- BneverhackmeLast tradedNo+$34.34
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$1,931.41
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$95.26
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedYes+$1,212.78
Exact Score: Thailand 1 - 2 Singapore?
No consensus- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$3,748.41
- SGC-PLast tradedYes+$447.13
- SNM-PLast tradedYes+$419.80
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ALimping-Baggie-TechniqueLast tradedYes-$28.15
- BfghsrthrhrshrsthLast tradedYes-$2,497.47
- BRickRockRickLast tradedYes-$100
- Called
- Molchanov/Pavel
- Won
- Molchanov/Pavel
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SfortunekingLast tradedMolchanov/Pavel+$2,082.95
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedHardt/Rodriguez-$73.07
- AkitopesivanLast tradedMolchanov/Pavel+$243.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$247.27
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$23.18
- BronnysLast tradedDown+$2,147.84
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder-$495.37
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$412.73
- AsslavagaLast tradedUnder-$405.80
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 17?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes+$41.89
- BBeginnersLuck2Last tradedNo-$1,641.28
- BColossal-Bookcase-SaloonLast tradedYes+$109.90
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$480
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$252.17
- A0x9f15…bdb3Last tradedNo-$388.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$1,127.16
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$84.89
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$3.65
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$967.19
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver+$1.08
- AwesolyjasiuLast tradedOver+$1.13
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$387.60
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$357.72
- SLeLynxMalynxLast tradedNo+$40.61
- Called
- Salma Djoubri
- Won
- Salma Djoubri
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedLea Fojcik+$934.54
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedSalma Djoubri+$9.78
- AkitopesivanLast tradedSalma Djoubri+$87.69
- Called
- Nathalia Pontes Tourinho
- Won
- Nathalia Pontes Tourinho
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedNathalia Pontes Tourinho+$504.19
- SRN1Last tradedNathalia Pontes Tourinho+$438.24
- BiesdLast tradedNathalia Pontes Tourinho+$0.95
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sforecastication4Last tradedUnder-$1,090.76
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$248.58
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$198.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$97.90
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$10.84
- BronnysLast tradedDown-$956.74
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$437.28
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$163.31
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$19.19
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$336.75
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo-$236.14
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$208.92
Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$128.47
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$161.34
- BNo-body1234Last tradedDown-$805.87
- Won
- Tomas Martinez
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedAlex Santino Nunez Vera-$771.97
- AsimbichLast tradedTomas Martinez+$11.94
- BlIllIlllIlIlLast tradedTomas Martinez+$1.10
- Called
- Tauson
- Won
- Noskova
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedTauson+$49.89
- ADCAAALast tradedTauson-$801
- AlooppauLast tradedNoskova+$2.25
13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 11,042 more positions across 1,283 markets on this day.