Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 87% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 14,695
- No consensus
- 13,105
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$380.10
- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedUp-$104.07
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$184.57
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$136.65
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedYes+$490.26
- AAmericaFirst1Last tradedYes+$1.98
- Called
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb
- Won
- Viking FK
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedGNK Dinamo Zagreb-$1,181.12
- S38791873984189Last tradedGNK Dinamo Zagreb-$264.09
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedViking FK-$80.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$187.24
- BGermany-007Last tradedDown-$343.94
- BstocassLast tradedDown-$73.48
- Called
- Under 2.5
- Won
- Over 2.5
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder 2.5-$444.33
- ADCAAALast tradedUnder 2.5-$77.44
- AHarryRitterLast tradedUnder 2.5-$51
- Called
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club
- Won
- Al Okhdood SC
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedAl Okhdood SC+$986.42
- AMushy-FinerLast tradedAl Khaleej Saudi Club-$920.33
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedAl Khaleej Saudi Club-$521.41
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$126.06
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedUp-$3.73
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$424.99
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 18?
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$141.32
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedOver+$104.62
- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder-$486.39
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$321.88
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDown-$1.82
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$182.92
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 17?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedYes-$0.15
- AaapangLast tradedYes-$250
- BComfortable-SandwichLast tradedYes-$206.32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 17?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo+$1.96
- AaapangLast tradedYes-$249.47
- BComfortable-SandwichLast tradedYes-$213.88
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$39.91
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder+$334.76
- Bjacques-chiracLast tradedUnder+$52.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$206.47
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$110.73
- BLondonBridgeLast tradedUp-$138.55
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$122.36
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$75.57
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder+$130
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$218.79
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$170.57
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedNo+$25.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$129.43
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$300.18
- BozaleLast tradedUp-$11.28
- Called
- Ryuki Matsuda
- Won
- Ryuki Matsuda
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedSanhui Shin-$564.09
- SArbTraderRookieLast tradedRyuki Matsuda+$2.46
- AHarryRitterLast tradedRyuki Matsuda+$83.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$288.09
- BuninformedflowwLast tradedDown+$103.65
- BjinwujinshuLast tradedDown+$5.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$543.82
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$168.57
- BCaring-MemoryLast tradedUp+$15
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 17?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$153.06
- APure-EyelinerLast tradedNo+$162.59
- APPMTLast tradedYes+$3.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$10.14
- BstocassLast tradedDown-$316.83
- BGermany-007Last tradedDown-$56.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUp+$0.49
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$70.83
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$35.39
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$421.34
- BstocassLast tradedUp+$90.90
- BGermany-007Last tradedDown-$53.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedUp-$1.44
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$339.12
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$30.53
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes+$6.41
- Bliq2Last tradedYes+$378.09
- BMysariaLast tradedNo-$10.28
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$519.31
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$81.34
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$80.56
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$158.15
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$110
- A0x87f7…8f45Last tradedNo+$87.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$397.51
- Bfacai168888Last tradedUp+$60.70
- BsemPernasLast tradedDown-$15.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$503.84
- BCLIOCOFFEELast tradedDown-$151.77
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown+$5.15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 17?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$159.22
- Bsleeper-serviceLast tradedNo-$105.34
- BneverhackmeLast tradedNo-$88.78
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes+$2,127.58
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$472.50
- AAleks100Last tradedNo-$2,951.51
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 66m and 68m?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedNo+$80.27
- AHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$64.50
- BLazlo1Last tradedYes-$451.05
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 18?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BCrypto.TraderLast tradedNo+$188.64
- Bsleeper-serviceLast tradedNo+$148.97
- BdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$2.26
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbloodmasterLast tradedUnder+$261.57
- Sameisgoat11Last tradedUnder+$4.24
- AukresportLast tradedUnder+$120.32
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$331.55
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$25.19
- BYellowCrocodileLast tradedUp-$30.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$288.78
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$61.16
- BrdimathLast tradedDown-$51.93
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$331.89
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$14.94
- SmatsukaLast tradedOver+$1.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$190.59
- BGermany-007Last tradedUp-$142.84
- BJIJIJIJIJIJIJILast tradedDown+$26.58
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$144.09
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$82.76
- AwesolyjasiuLast tradedOver+$1.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$242.75
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$170.85
- BYellowCrocodileLast tradedUp-$361.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$45.99
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$242.30
- BROBERTSIMON1987Last tradedUp+$7.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedUp-$7.08
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$287.44
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown+$1.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$140.96
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDown+$3.15
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$124.08
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on August 18?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes+$34.35
- Bsleeper-serviceLast tradedYes+$115.31
- BDadappleLast tradedYes+$79.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$319.10
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$11.09
- Bfacai168888Last tradedUp+$60.50
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$262.49
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$12.86
- AMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$8.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$174.98
- AEn111006Last tradedDown+$24.17
- BROBERTSIMON1987Last tradedDown+$39.74
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$130.21
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedUp+$5.73
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$523.84
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$113.70
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$36.20
- AlavendergoomsLast tradedNo-$95.16
13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 11,042 more positions across 1,283 markets on this day.