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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Color vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group B

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    The Last Resort
    Won
    Color
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AEK leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: LVKD (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    HAVU
    Won
    HAVU
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W50 Prague Women: Valeriya Strakhova vs Tereza Krejcova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Valeriya Strakhova
    Won
    Valeriya Strakhova
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Valeriya Strakhova+$189.31
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Valeriya Strakhova+$102.64
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Tereza Krejcova-$262.44

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$12.46
    • B
      psccoLast traded
      Up+$194.85
    • B
      CLIOCOFFEELast traded
      Up+$45.01

  • Guarani FC SP vs. Ypiranga FC RS: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ALKA vs ODDIK Academy (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group D

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ALKA
    Won
    ALKA
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      skippydevLast traded
      ALKA+$192.31
    • A
      RadioFreeZergLast traded
      ALKA+$13.99
    • B
      r6wrLast traded
      ALKA+$21.63

  • Will Al Jabalain Saudi Club win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Logrono Women: Miroslava Medvedeva vs Sofia Fernandez Figueras

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Miroslava Medvedeva
    Won
    Miroslava Medvedeva
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Miroslava Medvedeva+$135.40
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Miroslava Medvedeva+$85.70
    • S
      ilovetennisLast traded
      Miroslava Medvedeva+$2.85

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • APO Levadeiakós vs. AGS Astéras Trípolis: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CSD Macara vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador end in a draw?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$1,079.88
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$378.86
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      No-$499.60

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 3 - 1 Viking FK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Campos do Jordão 2 Women: Mariana Soares vs Ana Julia Sartori

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ana Julia Sartori
    Won
    Ana Julia Sartori
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Ana Julia Sartori+$220.18
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Mariana Soares-$102.76
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Ana Julia Sartori+$54.19

  • Exact Score: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 3 - 2 Viking FK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Zongyu Li vs Rositsa Dencheva

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Rositsa Dencheva
    Won
    Rositsa Dencheva
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Rositsa Dencheva+$201.33
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Zongyu Li-$62.59
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      Rositsa Dencheva+$4.73

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Bejlek vs Alexandrova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alexandrova
    Won
    Alexandrova
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Alexandrova+$106.28
    • A
      sslavagaLast traded
      Alexandrova+$94.84
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Bejlek-$43.49

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 18?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Arad Men: Federico Valle vs Alexandru Hebhang Balan

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Alexandru Hebhang Balan
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alexandru Hebhang Balan+$220.06
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Federico Valle-$207.89
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Federico Valle-$169.65

  • ITF W15 Campos do Jordão 2 Women: Laura Badia vs Clara Borrasca

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Laura Badia
    Won
    Laura Badia
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Laura Badia+$42.81
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Clara Borrasca-$1.40
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      Laura Badia+$0.54

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be 75°F or below on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$4.14
    • A
      Pricey-MillionLast traded
      Yes-$150.13
    • B
      0botLast traded
      No+$3.03

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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