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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$35.83
    • B
      stocassLast traded
      Up+$149.46
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Down+$19.75

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Thailand 2 - 0 Singapore?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Arad Men: Filippo Francesco Garbero vs Gabriel Sardo

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Gabriel Sardo
    Won
    Filippo Francesco Garbero
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Gabriel Sardo-$89.87
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Filippo Francesco Garbero+$69.32
    • A
      VTL777Last traded
      Gabriel Sardo-$113.58

  • Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Campos do Jordão 2 Women: Bianca Bernardes vs Maria Fernanda Lopes

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Maria Fernanda Lopes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Bianca Bernardes-$254.44
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Maria Fernanda Lopes+$40.53
    • A
      NeedForDeadLast traded
      Maria Fernanda Lopes+$153.36

  • Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club León FC O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Laurens Harnoth Manrubia vs Kaspar Mathes

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Laurens Harnoth Manrubia
    Won
    Laurens Harnoth Manrubia
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Laurens Harnoth Manrubia-$92.91
    • S
      MarquisDeMottLast traded
      Laurens Harnoth Manrubia+$0.98
    • A
      0x87f7…8f45Last traded
      Laurens Harnoth Manrubia-$34.76

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 18?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$19.07
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$14.65
    • A
      Cactus-001Last traded
      Under+$0.08

  • Exact Score: Club Necaxa 0 - 1 Club León FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$46.49
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$33.10
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$21.44

  • Mitch Bratt: Strikeouts O/U 3.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs Li

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Gauff
    Won
    Gauff
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Gauff+$78.40
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Gauff+$18.56
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Gauff+$15.50

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$22.93
    • B
      Alex698Last traded
      Up+$73.89
    • B
      stocassLast traded
      Down+$17.52

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SD Raiders FC 1 - 2 Sydney FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Rodri join Al-Hilal?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will White House post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    No consensus

    Politics

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Arad Men: David Popa vs Iannis Miletich

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Iannis Miletich
    Won
    Iannis Miletich
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Iannis Miletich+$28
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      David Popa-$24.60
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Iannis Miletich+$62.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Santander Men: Pedro Rodenas vs Tomas Curras Abasolo

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Pedro Rodenas
    Won
    Pedro Rodenas
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Pedro Rodenas+$331.28
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Pedro Rodenas+$29.01
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Tomas Curras Abasolo-$536.83

  • Exact Score: CF Pachuca 2 - 0 Club Puebla?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Brandon Nakashima vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Over 2.5
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Over 2.5+$100.96
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Over 2.5+$1.27
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Under 2.5-$200.11

  • PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: AEK O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Santa Cruz vs. San Luis de Quillota: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: BBP (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MASONIC
    Won
    MASONIC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      MASONIC+$47.51
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      MASONIC+$40.06
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      MASONIC-$0.20

  • Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Viking FK leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Won
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 18?

    Right

    SPX

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Won
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 72m?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Color vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Color
    Won
    Color
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Clube do Remo leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Lambermont Men: Louis Van Herck vs Tim Hammes

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Louis Van Herck
    Won
    Louis Van Herck
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK Buxoro vs. FK Neftchi Fargona end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sporting FC vs. Escorpiones de Belén: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$60.65
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over-$52.64
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$10.05

  • Will Home Depot say "Revenue" during earnings call?

    Wrong

    Tech

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Romiche22Last traded
      Yes-$60.39
    • A
      Hakei.Last traded
      Yes-$60.37
    • B
      motardioLast traded
      No+$52.13

  • ITF M25 Lesa Men: Pierluigi Basile vs Lorenzo Beraldo

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Pierluigi Basile
    Won
    Pierluigi Basile
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Pierluigi Basile+$25.44
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Lorenzo Beraldo-$24.15
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Pierluigi Basile+$9.02

  • Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Fortress (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-MANA eSports
    Won
    ex-MANA eSports
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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