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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Game Handicap: 3V (-2.5) vs LYON Academy (+2.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    3v Team
    Won
    3v Team
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Krakow Women: Sandra Samir vs Polina Leykina

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Sandra Samir
    Won
    Polina Leykina
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Thailand vs. Singapore: Thailand O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Federico Aguilar Cardozo vs Mateo Del Pino

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mateo Del Pino
    Won
    Mateo Del Pino
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Federico Aguilar Cardozo-$252.26
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Mateo Del Pino+$140.47
    • S
      ilovetennisLast traded
      Mateo Del Pino+$2.85

  • Exact Score: Al Okhdood SC 1 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 18?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Logrono Women: Megan Mae Root vs Daria Shubina

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Megan Mae Root
    Won
    Daria Shubina
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Megan Mae Root-$67.04
    • A
      0x87f7…8f45Last traded
      Megan Mae Root-$73.39
    • B
      Loyal-ParameterLast traded
      Daria Shubina+$190.91

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Eva Marie Desvignes vs Yui Chikaraishi

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Eva Marie Desvignes
    Won
    Eva Marie Desvignes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Eva Marie Desvignes+$28.52
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Eva Marie Desvignes+$14.20
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Eva Marie Desvignes+$4.95

  • ITF M15 Båstad Men: Maties Torres Ramis vs Alvar Lange

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Maties Torres Ramis
    Won
    Maties Torres Ramis
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alvar Lange-$141.44
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Maties Torres Ramis+$90.36
    • B
      iesdLast traded
      Maties Torres Ramis+$0.95

  • Exact Score: SC Internacional 0 - 2 Clube do Remo?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Lesa Men: Leonardo Primucci vs Alessandro Spadola

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alessandro Spadola
    Won
    Alessandro Spadola
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Leonardo Primucci-$68.87
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Alessandro Spadola+$23.43
    • S
      ilovetennisLast traded
      Alessandro Spadola+$1.90

  • Exact Score: SC Internacional 2 - 2 Clube do Remo?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$24.67
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$10.76
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$7.36

  • Will Rodri join Paris Saint-Germain?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      nvczLast traded
      Under+$107.85
    • A
      legitgameLast traded
      Under+$21.36
    • A
      sampo-oneLast traded
      Over-$0.95

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CSD Macara 2 - 0 CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Wanfercée-Baulet Women: Sevil Yuldasheva vs Jahnie van Zyl

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Jahnie van Zyl
    Won
    Sevil Yuldasheva
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Jahnie van Zyl-$57.49
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Jahnie van Zyl-$52.33
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Sevil Yuldasheva+$45.59

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Tjen vs Andreeva

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Andreeva
    Won
    Andreeva
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sporting FC vs. Escorpiones de Belén: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Thailand 3 - 1 Singapore?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$16
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$11.81
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      No+$4.55

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Club Necaxa 3 - 2 Club León FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$32.72
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$20.89
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$13.84

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      No+$9.92
    • A
      aviatoLast traded
      No+$9.13
    • A
      PPMTLast traded
      No+$2.01

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Club León FC
    Won
    Club León FC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Club Necaxa 0 - 3 Club León FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$14.45
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$9.04
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$4.50

  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Arad Men: Andrea Paolini vs Pavel Skvortcov

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Andrea Paolini
    Won
    Andrea Paolini
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Pavel Skvortcov-$98.22
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Andrea Paolini+$24.12
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Andrea Paolini+$98.49

  • Thailand vs. Singapore: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 18?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Aleksei Sarana win Titled Tuesday on August 18?

    Right

    Sports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W50 Prague Women: Anastasia Zolotareva vs Raluka Serban

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Anastasia Zolotareva
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bluddLast traded
      Over+$12.64
    • A
      0xjamesLast traded
      Over+$80.68
    • A
      Xander-XXLast traded
      Over+$0.31

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,042 more positions across 1,283 markets on this day.

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