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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Fortress - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Esport Academy Copenhagen
    Won
    Esport Academy Copenhagen
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Esport Academy Copenhagen+$16.59
    • A
      BookWarriorLast traded
      Fortress-$65.80
    • A
      freedom82Last traded
      Esport Academy Copenhagen+$27.14

  • Exact Score: Club Necaxa 2 - 3 Club León FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$7.63
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$6.66
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$2.57

  • ITF M15 Krakow Men: Patrik Homola vs Nikola Keremedchiev

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nikola Keremedchiev
    Won
    Nikola Keremedchiev
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Nikola Keremedchiev-$190.20
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Patrik Homola-$95.12
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Nikola Keremedchiev+$190.93

  • Exact Score: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 2 Viking FK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$19.13
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$10.82
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$7.99

  • Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Club Puebla
    Won
    Club Puebla
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Club Puebla+$137.60
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      CF Pachuca+$3.54
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Club Puebla+$1.44

  • Exact Score: Guarani FC SP 0 - 1 Ypiranga FC RS?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$0.48
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      No-$13.85
    • B
      donthackmeLast traded
      No-$4.69

  • Prague 2: Completed Match: Matias Soto vs Rudolf Molleker

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Deportes Temuco (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Deportes Recoleta
    Won
    Deportes Recoleta
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Sydney FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Club Necaxa 3 - 0 Club León FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$14.67
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$10.44
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$7.91

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CF Pachuca
    Won
    CF Pachuca
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      CF Pachuca+$31.13
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Club Puebla-$18.46
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      CF Pachuca+$4.87

  • Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 18, 2026?

    No consensus

    Politics

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will PAS Pýrgos 1968 win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Club Necaxa 3 - 3 Club León FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Tires: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Shlomo Karhi win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Zhu vs Martinez

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Martinez
    Won
    Martinez
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: CD Santa Cruz (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    San Luis de Quillota
    Won
    San Luis de Quillota
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      San Luis de Quillota+$3.53
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      San Luis de Quillota+$1.51
    • S
      MarquisDeMottLast traded
      San Luis de Quillota+$0.69

  • Exact Score: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 1 Viking FK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Lesa Men: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Gabriele Mellerio

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
    Won
    Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini+$95.35
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini+$2.84
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Gabriele Mellerio-$97.35

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Thailand 1 - 1 Singapore?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$102.78
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$15.62
    • B
      AM9691Last traded
      Yes-$103.90

  • Will Ferroviaria Araraquara SP vs. Paysandu SC PA end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Spider-Man: Far from Home" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CD Santa Cruz vs. San Luis de Quillota end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fritz vs. Aguilar: Match O/U 22.5

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Gokberk Saritas vs Egor Khotchenkov

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Gokberk Saritas
    Won
    Egor Khotchenkov
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Gokberk Saritas-$3,589.13
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Gokberk Saritas-$60.27
    • A
      yeageristLast traded
      Egor Khotchenkov+$0.72

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: GNK Dinamo Zagreb O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$1,687.27
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$251.01
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under+$172.54

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Detroit Tigers
    Won
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Al Khaleej Saudi Club
    Won
    Al Okhdood SC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Al Khaleej Saudi Club-$1,459.07
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Al Khaleej Saudi Club-$74.06
    • B
      lIllIlllIlIlLast traded
      Al Okhdood SC+$0.11

  • Exact Score: SD Raiders FC 0 - 1 Sydney FC?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hijikata vs. Mensik: Match O/U 22.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 0 - 2 AEK?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$250.81
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$19.44
    • A
      dv-pmLast traded
      Yes-$620.68

  • PFC Sogdiana vs. Qizilqum Zarafshon: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Santander Men: Jordi Garcia Mestre vs Sergi Fita Juan

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sergi Fita Juan
    Won
    Sergi Fita Juan
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Sergi Fita Juan+$662.98
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Sergi Fita Juan+$16.93
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Sergi Fita Juan+$128.51

  • Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Detroit Tigers
    Won
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Detroit Tigers-$808.61
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Pittsburgh Pirates+$126.56
    • A
      En111006Last traded
      Detroit Tigers-$83.62

  • ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Maria Oliver Sanchez vs Alexia-Shara Iancu

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Maria Oliver Sanchez
    Won
    Alexia-Shara Iancu
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Maria Oliver Sanchez-$582.73
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Maria Oliver Sanchez-$5.79
    • A
      temparalLast traded
      Maria Oliver Sanchez-$97

  • Prague 2: Completed Match: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Cash/Glasspool vs Ram/Salisbury

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ram/Salisbury
    Won
    Ram/Salisbury
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Mushy-FinerLast traded
      Ram/Salisbury+$455.86
    • A
      sweiseLast traded
      Ram/Salisbury+$259.35
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Cash/Glasspool-$63.81

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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