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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SD Raiders FC 0 - 2 Sydney FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Buxoro vs. FK Neftchi Fargona: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Tseng vs Barton

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tseng
    Won
    Tseng
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Klarna say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?

    Right

    Tech

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      shiifooLast traded
      No+$293.14
    • B
      motardioLast traded
      No+$215.41
    • B
      C6H6Last traded
      No+$0.54

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Buxoro vs. FK Neftchi Fargona: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$441.29
    • S
      Burkilota1Last traded
      Over+$43.54
    • B
      ZIMA5Last traded
      Over-$93.62

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportes Copiapo vs. Curico Unido: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 0 - 1 AEK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$640.91
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$82.45
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$79.59

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ferroviaria Araraquara SP vs. Paysandu SC PA: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Cincinnati Reds
    Won
    Cincinnati Reds
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Cincinnati Reds+$42.76
    • A
      NeedForDeadLast traded
      St. Louis Cardinals-$102.40
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      St. Louis Cardinals-$370.51

  • Exact Score: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 0 Viking FK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • GAIS vs. Malmo FF: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 13.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ferroviaria Araraquara SP vs. Paysandu SC PA: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Krakow Women: Ingrid Vojcinakova vs Georgina Garcia Perez

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Georgina Garcia Perez
    Won
    Georgina Garcia Perez
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Georgina Garcia Perez+$649.91
    • S
      fortunekingLast traded
      Ingrid Vojcinakova-$285.59
    • B
      lIllIlllIlIlLast traded
      Georgina Garcia Perez+$0.26

  • Counter-Strike: PENSIONERS vs Diamant Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    PENSIONERS
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Diamant Esports-$32.26
    • A
      kozelblackLast traded
      PENSIONERS+$394.56
    • A
      XDDOOOGXDLast traded
      PENSIONERS+$0.41

  • Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Draw at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 17?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Juliana Singeorzan vs Alessia Popescu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Juliana Singeorzan
    Won
    Juliana Singeorzan
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Red Feet (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BESTIA Academy
    Won
    BESTIA Academy
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      JAMJAMJAM4Last traded
      BESTIA Academy+$357.73
    • B
      urlossLast traded
      Red Feet-$74.27
    • B
      r6wrLast traded
      BESTIA Academy+$36.60

  • Will Fram Reykjavik win on 2026-08-17?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes+$411.19
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Yes+$0.06
    • A
      us391Last traded
      No-$101.89

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: PFC Sogdiana (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Qizilqum Zarafshon
    Won
    Qizilqum Zarafshon
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Qizilqum Zarafshon+$101.09
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      PFC Sogdiana-$16.49
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Qizilqum Zarafshon+$199.18

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Atmane

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Zverev
    Won
    Zverev
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Zverev-$44.72
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Atmane-$234.37
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      Zverev+$1.03

  • Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-18?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Cloud9 GC vs SEN Otters - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Cloud9 GC
    Won
    Cloud9 GC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      madoka123Last traded
      Cloud9 GC+$7.02
    • A
      cbfe5306Last traded
      Cloud9 GC+$267.41
    • B
      agrarwardLast traded
      Cloud9 GC+$0.67

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Thailand vs. Singapore: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$172.26
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under+$83.51
    • B
      xuejiaoLast traded
      Under+$0.50

  • Spread: AEK (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    PFK Levski Sofia
    Won
    PFK Levski Sofia
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sydney FC leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,042 more positions across 1,283 markets on this day.

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