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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hijikata vs. Mensik: Match O/U 21.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CF Pachuca 1 - 3 Club Puebla?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFC Sogdiana vs. Qizilqum Zarafshon: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix
    Won
    ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix+$21.73
    • A
      RadioFreeZergLast traded
      ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix-$13.98
    • B
      lmtscaptLast traded
      ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix+$221.54

  • Deportes Temuco vs. Deportes Recoleta: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$186.82
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Down+$34.26
    • B
      ozaleLast traded
      Down+$4.35

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$59.64
    • B
      stocassLast traded
      Down-$160.58
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Up+$3.85

  • GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to Score in First Half

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$193.40
    • B
      ozaleLast traded
      Down+$12.71
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Down+$0.60

  • Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Pegula
    Won
    Pegula
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Siniakova (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Keys
    Won
    Keys
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Keys+$23.41
    • A
      freedom82Last traded
      Keys+$148.94
    • B
      SomonGLast traded
      Keys+$31.04

  • CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club Necaxa O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CF Pachuca 1 - 2 Club Puebla?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will PFC Sogdiana vs. Qizilqum Zarafshon end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Just Players - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Just Players
    Won
    Just Players
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

    Wrong

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      2B9SLast traded
      No+$207.89
    • B
      42012Last traded
      No-$274.67
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      No-$105.45

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sporting FC vs. Escorpiones de Belén: Escorpiones de Belén 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$10.19
    • B
      stocassLast traded
      Up+$138.17
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Down+$4.72

  • PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: Neither team to score first?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Arina Gabriela Vasilescu vs Tessa Johanna Brockmann

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
    Won
    Tessa Johanna Brockmann
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Arina Gabriela Vasilescu-$204.87
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Tessa Johanna Brockmann+$112.10
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Arina Gabriela Vasilescu-$44.04

  • Exact Score: Al Okhdood SC 2 - 1 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,042 more positions across 1,283 markets on this day.

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