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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Jong vs Sweeny

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jong
    Won
    Jong
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Guarani FC SP 2 - 2 Ypiranga FC RS?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Guarani FC SP vs. Ypiranga FC RS: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 2 Winner: Rublev vs Borges

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Borges
    Won
    Borges
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Yokohama BayStars vs. Yomiuri Giants

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Yomiuri Giants
    Won
    Yokohama BayStars
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yomiuri Giants-$5.48
    • A
      NeedForDeadLast traded
      Yokohama BayStars+$124.47
    • B
      lIllIlllIlIlLast traded
      Yokohama BayStars+$0.39

  • Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Kansas City Royals
    Won
    Kansas City Royals
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Kansas City Royals+$5.30
    • S
      LesterDiamondLast traded
      Kansas City Royals+$0.52
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Kansas City Royals+$112.85

  • Will Fred M'membe win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
    Won
    CSD Macara
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador-$272.76
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      CSD Macara+$225.05
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador-$69.68

  • Shimizu vs. Matusevich: Match O/U 21.5

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$116.48
    • B
      ozaleLast traded
      Up-$1.29
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Down-$0.09

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Schnaitter/Wallner vs Krawietz/Puetz

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Schnaitter/Wallner
    Won
    Schnaitter/Wallner
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Schnaitter/Wallner+$111.48
    • B
      iesdLast traded
      Schnaitter/Wallner+$0.95
    • B
      MollykLast traded
      Schnaitter/Wallner+$0.67

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $78 Week of August 17 2026?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Jabalain Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Taylor Fritz vs. Daniel Merida Aguilar: Total Sets O/U 2.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Under 2.5
    Won
    Under 2.5
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Al Diraiyah Saudi Club 3 - 3 Al Nassr Saudi Club?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$39.93
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Yes-$62.96
    • B
      Tyche1Last traded
      No+$0.95

  • Deportes Copiapo vs. Curico Unido: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$98.40
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Down-$3.32
    • B
      ozaleLast traded
      Up+$1.32

  • GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Curico Unido win on 2026-08-17?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: Viking FK 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over+$149.91
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Under-$459.17
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over+$217.35

  • ITF M25 Lesa Men: Niccolo Catini vs Alexander Weis

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alexander Weis
    Won
    Alexander Weis
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Niccolo Catini-$74.25
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Alexander Weis-$18.19
    • A
      temparalLast traded
      Alexander Weis+$1.82

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs EvolupeGG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    A Great Chaos
    Won
    A Great Chaos
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      drhouzLast traded
      A Great Chaos+$88.38
    • A
      owlgorithm-betaLast traded
      A Great Chaos+$0.59
    • B
      InterzoneCoLast traded
      A Great Chaos+$0.77

  • PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Thailand vs. Singapore: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Santander Men: Xavi Palomar vs Ignacio Parisca Romera

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ignacio Parisca Romera
    Won
    Ignacio Parisca Romera
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Ignacio Parisca Romera+$23.70
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Xavi Palomar-$109.79
    • B
      lIllIlllIlIlLast traded
      Ignacio Parisca Romera+$0.05

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      NamerenLast traded
      Over+$9.30
    • B
      TomoXLast traded
      Over+$44.47
    • B
      asdlabsoLast traded
      Over+$30.72

  • Exact Score: SD Raiders FC 0 - 3 Sydney FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,042 more positions across 1,283 markets on this day.

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