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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Al Jabalain Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Klarna say "Walmart" during earnings call?

    Right

    Tech

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Hakei.Last traded
      Yes+$80.35
    • B
      C6H6Last traded
      Yes+$1.82
    • B
      HarpoonSignalsLast traded
      Yes+$0.35

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ferroviaria Araraquara SP vs. Paysandu SC PA: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$33.16
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$8.20
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under+$36.36

  • Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of August 17 2026?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 17?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK Polissia vs. FK Zorya Luhansk end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Thailand vs. Singapore: Thailand O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$70.14
    • S
      matsukaLast traded
      Over+$1.70
    • B
      daniilkenLast traded
      Over+$0.64

  • Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$76.54
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$69.56
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Over-$79.53

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Krakow Women: Anna Ozerova vs Dalila Jakupovic

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Anna Ozerova
    Won
    Dalila Jakupovic
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Anna Ozerova-$17.50
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Dalila Jakupovic+$70.26
    • B
      GlomeLast traded
      Dalila Jakupovic+$11.92

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Thailand 1 - 0 Singapore?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$45
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$9.80
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$8.96

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Vélez Sarsfield 0 - 2 CSyD Defensa y Justicia?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$43.87
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$14.73
    • A
      Cactus-001Last traded
      No+$2.47

  • Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CA Vélez Sarsfield
    Won
    CA Vélez Sarsfield
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      CA Vélez Sarsfield+$44.15
    • S
      Neat-RobotLast traded
      CA Vélez Sarsfield+$4.20
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      CA Vélez Sarsfield+$11.87

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      OraculumNobiusLast traded
      Yes+$0.15
    • B
      liq2Last traded
      Yes+$60.21
    • B
      mtm1mLast traded
      Yes-$2.27

  • ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Elias Julian Werner vs Arian Barbic

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Elias Julian Werner
    Won
    Arian Barbic
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Elias Julian Werner-$59.38
    • B
      iesdLast traded
      Arian Barbic+$1
    • B
      MollykLast traded
      Arian Barbic+$0.70

  • CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$216.17
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Over+$353.72
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under-$80.54

  • Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Miami Marlins
    Won
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Miami Marlins-$101
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Philadelphia Phillies+$157.50
    • B
      lIllIlllIlIlLast traded
      Philadelphia Phillies+$0.12

  • Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 2 - 0 AEK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Won
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers+$56.51
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers+$70.10
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Colorado Rockies-$70.24

  • 1. FC Heidenheim vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Chia Yi Tsao vs Na Ri Kim

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Chia Yi Tsao
    Won
    Na Ri Kim
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Chia Yi Tsao-$75.08
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Chia Yi Tsao-$69.74
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Na Ri Kim+$89.67

  • Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Jurak/Wu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Siniakova/Townsend
    Won
    Siniakova/Townsend
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Siniakova/Townsend+$34.52
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Siniakova/Townsend+$20.40
    • A
      pelikLast traded
      Siniakova/Townsend+$0.15

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Niklas Waldner vs Tim Heger

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tim Heger
    Won
    Tim Heger
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Tim Heger+$27
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Tim Heger+$22.05
    • S
      ilovetennisLast traded
      Tim Heger+$4.75

  • Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$102.25
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$50.15
    • B
      xuejiaoLast traded
      Under+$0.09

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CSD Macara vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$56.84
    • B
      stocassLast traded
      Down+$3.57
    • B
      SreemLast traded
      Up+$2.26

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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