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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Exact Score: SD Raiders FC 2 - 3 Sydney FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 72m and 79m?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      aviatoLast traded
      No+$50
    • A
      PPMTLast traded
      No+$11.41
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      No-$12.37

  • Game Handicap: DNS (-2.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+2.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    DN SOOPers
    Won
    DN SOOPers
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Nongshim Red Force-$761.58
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      DN SOOPers+$0.92
    • B
      anon9Last traded
      DN SOOPers+$711.73

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • San Luis de Quillota leading at halftime?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 17?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ferroviaria Araraquara SP vs. Paysandu SC PA: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SD Raiders FC vs. Sydney FC: Sydney FC O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Franco Ariel Vazquez vs Andrea Motta

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Andrea Motta
    Won
    Andrea Motta
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Andrea Motta+$26.25
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Andrea Motta+$11.44
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Andrea Motta+$9

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Thailand 3 - 0 Singapore?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$51.48
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$22.76
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$16.40

  • Spread: Bayern Munich (-3.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    1. FC Heidenheim
    Won
    1. FC Heidenheim
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      1. FC Heidenheim+$2.65
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Bayern Munich+$2.56
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      1. FC Heidenheim+$39.54

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo: Clube do Remo 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 2 - 2 CA Talleres?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CF Pachuca 1 - 0 Club Puebla?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$68.42
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$59.54
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$33.29

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: 1. FC Heidenheim 3 - 3 Bayern Munich?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$15.22
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$10.71
    • A
      nonkenny90Last traded
      No+$14.29

  • Valorant: NPC Team vs Looking For Laburo (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Main Event Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Looking For Laburo
    Won
    Looking For Laburo
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      cbfe5306Last traded
      Looking For Laburo+$31.22
    • B
      1234abLast traded
      Looking For Laburo+$7.90
    • B
      agrarwardLast traded
      Looking For Laburo+$0.67

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      0x9b11…5375Last traded
      Under-$5.02
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over-$249.01
    • B
      psccoLast traded
      Under+$215.31

  • ITF M25 Lesa Men: Giacomo Crisostomo vs Daniel Lechner

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Daniel Lechner
    Won
    Giacomo Crisostomo
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Giacomo Crisostomo+$184.78
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Daniel Lechner-$92.41
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Daniel Lechner-$130.81

  • Games Total: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Santander Men: Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Yanaki Milev

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Bernardo Munk Mesa
    Won
    Bernardo Munk Mesa
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Bernardo Munk Mesa-$226.97
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Bernardo Munk Mesa+$249.54
    • A
      ZeljkoLast traded
      Bernardo Munk Mesa+$14.71

  • Marta Kostyuk vs. Sloane Stephens: Total Sets O/U 2.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Under 2.5
    Won
    Under 2.5
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Vélez Sarsfield 1 - 0 CSyD Defensa y Justicia?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$56.47
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$31.18
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      No+$10.55

  • Al Okhdood SC leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Navarro vs Pegula

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Pegula
    Won
    Pegula
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Pegula+$159.16
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Navarro-$192
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      Pegula+$0.42

  • Exact Score: CF Pachuca 0 - 0 Club Puebla?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Stephens

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kostyuk
    Won
    Kostyuk
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,042 more positions across 1,283 markets on this day.

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