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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFC Sogdiana vs. Qizilqum Zarafshon: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Sydney FC (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Sydney FC
    Won
    SD Raiders FC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Joe Burrow traded to the Jets?

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      hoseLast traded
      No+$14.33
    • B
      LisbonLast traded
      No+$9.52
    • B
      green9Last traded
      No+$5.80

  • ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Patrick Jozwicki vs Gabriele Maria Noce

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Patrick Jozwicki
    Won
    Gabriele Maria Noce
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Patrick Jozwicki+$1.74
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Gabriele Maria Noce+$26.36
    • B
      iesdLast traded
      Gabriele Maria Noce+$0.69

  • Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Colorado Rockies
    Won
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CF Pachuca
    Won
    CF Pachuca
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Deportes Temuco vs. Deportes Recoleta end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$248.88
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$150.86
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$70.23

  • Spread: Clube do Remo (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    SC Internacional
    Won
    SC Internacional
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      SC Internacional+$10.90
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      SC Internacional+$1.92
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      SC Internacional+$14.89

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA Vélez Sarsfield 1 - 2 CSyD Defensa y Justicia?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: AEK O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Aguilar

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Fritz
    Won
    Fritz
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of August 17 2026?

    Right

    Stocks

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Al Okhdood SC 1 - 3 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Guarani FC SP 2 - 1 Ypiranga FC RS?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Campos do Jordão 2 Women: Camila Markus vs Marjorie Souza

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Marjorie Souza
    Won
    Marjorie Souza
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Marjorie Souza+$18.57
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Marjorie Souza+$3.82
    • B
      lIllIlllIlIlLast traded
      Marjorie Souza+$0.08

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 17?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SD Raiders FC 1 - 3 Sydney FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo: Neither team to score first?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Julian Cundom vs Ezequiel Monferrer

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Julian Cundom
    Won
    Julian Cundom
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Julian Cundom+$78.38
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Julian Cundom+$18.41
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Ezequiel Monferrer-$78.07

  • ITF W35 Krakow Women: Darya Velikova vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Zuzanna Pawlikowska
    Won
    Zuzanna Pawlikowska
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Zuzanna Pawlikowska+$10.75
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Zuzanna Pawlikowska+$5.63
    • S
      Pan9XLast traded
      Zuzanna Pawlikowska+$1.99

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$1.22
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      No-$13.87
    • B
      BeginnersLuck2Last traded
      Yes-$3.05

  • Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      neverhackmeLast traded
      No+$23.03
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes-$8.91
    • B
      ceasalLast traded
      No+$1.34

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Prague 2: Completed Match: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Hynek Barton

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 3 - 1 AEK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$9.30
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$4.77
    • A
      JoanLuLast traded
      No+$1.05

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: Club León FC O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$105.37
    • A
      0xjamesLast traded
      Over+$101.70
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over+$17.74

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$3.51
    • A
      plainfolderLast traded
      No-$17.33
    • A
      ghorrockLast traded
      No+$1.08

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 18?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 17?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,042 more positions across 1,283 markets on this day.

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