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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,154 right436 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
13,105

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Boaz Bismuth win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$8.50
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$0.68
    • B
      Tyche1Last traded
      No+$0.84
  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Omega
    Won
    Fire Flux Esports
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Omega-$216.09
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Fire Flux Esports+$206.29
    • B
      Squeaky-GokartLast traded
      Fire Flux Esports+$1.71
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Yoav Kisch win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Moshe Saada win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen
    Won
    Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen+$80.47
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Lian Tran-$75.75
    • A
      temparalLast traded
      Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen+$2.89
  • Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 17?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Miri Regev win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?

    No consensus

    Politics

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Almog Cohen win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Entropy
    Won
    Entropy
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Amichai Chikli win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$12.80
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$11.30
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$3.07
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will David Amsalem win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Lucia Llinares Domingo
    Won
    Yuliya Hatouka
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Lucia Llinares Domingo-$9
    • A
      BasquetipsterLast traded
      Yuliya Hatouka+$12.98
    • B
      chliuLast traded
      Lucia Llinares Domingo-$0.21
  • Soccer

    Called
    Club León FC
    Won
    Club León FC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Andreeva
    Won
    Andreeva
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      funfactsLast traded
      Over-$54.45
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Under+$18.60
    • B
      lmtscaptLast traded
      Under+$38.64
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will "In the Land of Saints and Sinners" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Dakotah Bobo
    Won
    Dakotah Bobo
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Dakotah Bobo+$124.96
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Dakotah Bobo+$3.18
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Alvaro Frutos Alonso-$130
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Doumbia/Reboul
    Won
    Doumbia/Reboul
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    INOX Division
    Won
    INOX Division
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      yeageristLast traded
      INOX Division+$0.56
    • B
      player7playerLast traded
      INOX Division+$0.54
    • B
      solomilloLast traded
      INOX Division+$0.06
  • Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Under+$0.38
    • B
      solomilloLast traded
      Under+$0.41
    • B
      C6H6Last traded
      Under+$0.34
  • Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,041 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 11,042 more positions across 1,283 markets on this day.