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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
2,211 right562 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
11,922

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Kingston: Benjamin Willwerth vs Gonzalo Bueno

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Gonzalo Bueno
    Won
    Gonzalo Bueno
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,140
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,140
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      No-$977.91

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$350.55
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$194.14
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$147.14

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      No+$8,261.16
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$6,339.28
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No+$6,190.38

  • Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-17?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$4,235.96
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,106.46
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$829.07

  • GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$162.03
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$151.68
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$110.80

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Solary
    Won
    TLN Pirates
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Jakub Nicod
    Won
    Max Hans Rehberg
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      yesmateLast traded
      Max Hans Rehberg+$11,012.70
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Jakub Nicod-$4,567.19
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Jakub Nicod-$3,935.68

  • Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Tristan Schoolkate

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Stefanos Sakellaridis
    Won
    Stefanos Sakellaridis
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Stefanos Sakellaridis+$2,323.58
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Tristan Schoolkate-$616.37
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Stefanos Sakellaridis+$611.18

  • Kingston: Blaise Bicknell vs Max Purcell

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Max Purcell
    Won
    Max Purcell
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Prague 2: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Martin Krumich

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Javier Barranco Cosano
    Won
    Javier Barranco Cosano
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Martin Krumich-$1,346.67
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Javier Barranco Cosano+$1,221.44
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Martin Krumich-$1,129.85

  • Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MASONIC
    Won
    MASONIC
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-17?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,601.56
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$976.95
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$550.39

  • Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$650.60
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$395.17
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      No+$187.92

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cancun: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Luka Pavlovic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Felipe Meligeni Alves
    Won
    Felipe Meligeni Alves
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Under-$1,016.10
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under-$991.10
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$800

  • Prague 2: Florian Broska vs Sean Cuenin

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Sean Cuenin
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Florian Broska-$1,587.63
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Florian Broska-$889.43
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Sean Cuenin+$676.78

  • Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Cincinnati Reds
    Won
    Cincinnati Reds
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ndb1Last traded
      Cincinnati Reds+$2,992.98
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      St. Louis Cardinals-$2,843.72
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Cincinnati Reds+$1,010.17

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Madison Keys

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Madison Keys
    Won
    Madison Keys
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Katerina Siniakova-$862.36
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Madison Keys-$858.03
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Madison Keys+$317.65

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston: Garrett Johns vs Paulo Dos Santos

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Garrett Johns
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Garrett Johns+$3,033.13
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Paulo Dos Santos-$2,436.11
    • S
      HVABLast traded
      Garrett Johns+$883.01

11,841 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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