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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
2,211 right562 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
11,922

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$108.86
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$105.12
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$89.50

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$237.98
    • S
      Agile-SpacingLast traded
      Up+$28.51
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Down+$25.08

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-18?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SPARTA
    Won
    SPARTA
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Galions
    Won
    Galions
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Galions+$351.51
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Galions+$191.80
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Galions+$146.35

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$620.54
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$151.36
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$151.31

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$173.58
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$136.64
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$30.62

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Down-$158.46
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$118.63
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$104.51

  • Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$1,164.19
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,035.62
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$594.46

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Fire Flux Esports
    Won
    Fire Flux Esports
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Galions
    Won
    Galions
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Metizport vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Metizport
    Won
    Metizport
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$293.68
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$280.66
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$163.54

  • Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton: Alec Deckers vs Patrick Brady

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Patrick Brady
    Won
    Patrick Brady
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Rodri join Real Madrid?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$204.39
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$104.42
    • S
      Alpharo28Last traded
      Up-$58.10

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$230.50
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$217.24
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$171.13

  • ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Hanlei Lu vs Vladimir Osminkin

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Vladimir Osminkin
    Won
    Hanlei Lu
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      Vladimir Osminkin-$35,225.39
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Vladimir Osminkin-$34,305.38
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Vladimir Osminkin-$25,246.11

  • Will AEK win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombos

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Norbert Gombos
    Won
    Norbert Gombos
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Gilles Arnaud Bailly-$9,815.03
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Gilles Arnaud Bailly-$2,539.79
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Norbert Gombos-$975.93

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Boston Red Sox
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks-$5,706.90
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Boston Red Sox+$5,413.35
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      Boston Red Sox+$1,546.21

  • SC Internacional vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$2,032.97
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under+$747.90
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over-$650.73

  • Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sloane Stephens

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Marta Kostyuk
    Won
    Marta Kostyuk
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Sloane Stephens-$436.47
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Sloane Stephens-$346.58
    • S
      ZaiZoiBeleLast traded
      Marta Kostyuk+$295.07

  • Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,841 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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