Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
2,211 right562 wrong
All wallets: 89% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 14,695
- No consensus
- 11,922
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNIULAI4Last tradedDown+$158.07
- SStayFocusLuiaLast tradedDown+$143.23
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$126.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$321.88
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$182.92
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$66.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$202.46
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$131.22
- SalmachLast tradedDown-$105.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHugewinnerLast tradedDown-$1,044.22
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$354.37
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$88.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 34%
Profitable wallets' positions- Shoney-spotLast tradedDown+$135.18
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$92.67
- Spspspsps5Last tradedUp+$71.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$62
- Sx-MoneyForWhiskasLast tradedUp-$55.03
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$51.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$271.16
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$110.13
- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$63.47
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$116.54
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$96.08
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$80.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$196.85
- SalmachLast tradedDown+$69.10
- Sdangerously-skip-permissionsLast tradedDown+$40.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 51%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHugewinnerLast tradedUp-$213.23
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$76.76
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$35.48
- Called
- San Diego Padres
- Won
- New York Mets
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSan Diego Padres-$9,604.02
- SRN1Last tradedSan Diego Padres-$5,395.93
- Storta.techLast tradedNew York Mets+$2,713.23
- Called
- Lodis
- Won
- Lodis
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLodis+$2,362.35
- Sameisgoat11Last tradedLodis+$452.39
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedBOMBA Team-$317.80
- Called
- Jakub Mensik
- Won
- Jakub Mensik
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedJakub Mensik+$3,491.94
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedJakub Mensik-$2,114.18
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedRinky Hijikata-$1,420.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$397.51
- SohioismLast tradedDown-$199.83
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$67.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHugewinnerLast tradedUp+$397.60
- Shoney-spotLast tradedUp-$302.53
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$277.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$201.60
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$190.59
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$109.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- Shoney-spotLast tradedDown+$537.21
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$166.12
- SuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown+$107.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$680.06
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$31
- SalmachLast tradedDown+$29.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sx-MoneyForWhiskasLast tradedUp+$76.22
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$68.39
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$52.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$218.71
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$150.70
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$101.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SalmachLast tradedUp-$162.27
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$148.61
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$83.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$104.55
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$72.55
- SGoodFallenLast tradedUp-$43.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$415.43
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$76.68
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$37.71
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$775.95
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$222.55
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$142.87
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$244.78
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$68.44
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$64.19
- Called
- Nerman Fatic
- Won
- Maxim Mrva
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMaxim Mrva+$28,456.26
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNerman Fatic-$3,415.29
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMaxim Mrva+$2,256.84
- Called
- Oriol Roca Batalla
- Won
- Radu Mihai Papoe
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedRadu Mihai Papoe+$14,796.38
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOriol Roca Batalla-$3,328
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedOriol Roca Batalla-$1,741.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$733.15
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$237.20
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$156.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$289.63
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$94.10
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$53.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$178.65
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$171.16
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$170.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$339.64
- SGoodFallenLast tradedUp-$46.23
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$35.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$127.09
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$80.77
- Spspspsps5Last tradedUp+$49.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$195.98
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$170.90
- SalmachLast tradedUp+$97.32
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$242.52
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$121.55
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$75.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- Shoney-spotLast tradedUp-$562.84
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$138.85
- SEn111006Last tradedUp-$106.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- Shoney-spotLast tradedUp+$452.61
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$176.07
- SalmachLast tradedDown-$56.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$203.04
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$140.39
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$81.64
- Called
- Cincinnati Reds
- Won
- Cincinnati Reds
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedCincinnati Reds+$14,545.73
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedCincinnati Reds+$8,613.77
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedSt. Louis Cardinals-$3,347.43
- Called
- Ann Li
- Won
- Coco Gauff
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedAnn Li-$1,435
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedAnn Li-$1,297.25
- SRN1Last tradedAnn Li-$1,274.77
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbalthazarLast tradedNo-$689.50
- Se46m3Last tradedNo+$619.42
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$74.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$269.56
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$143.53
- SHugewinnerLast tradedDown-$105.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedDown-$1,299.67
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$186.61
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$186.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$218.49
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$124.08
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$118.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$681.57
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$207.80
- SwqewqaLast tradedUp+$82.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$461.88
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$380.10
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$184.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$201.39
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$98.87
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$49.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$331.55
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$265.22
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$128.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$170.65
- Sdangerously-skip-permissionsLast tradedUp+$120.91
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$84.67
11,841 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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