Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 89% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 14,695
- No consensus
- 11,922
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$28.07
- SBoneOhioLast tradedDown+$24.15
- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$16.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- Shoney-spotLast tradedDown-$383.86
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$133.23
- SEn111006Last tradedDown-$75.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$209.91
- SalmachLast tradedUp+$78.90
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$47.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$137.59
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$77.45
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$61.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 7%
- Called
- Michael Zheng
- Won
- Lorenzo Musetti
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMichael Zheng-$5,673.13
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMichael Zheng-$1,358.93
- StradecraftLast tradedLorenzo Musetti+$1,261.26
- Called
- Colorado Rockies
- Won
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SInferior-TrafficLast tradedLos Angeles Dodgers+$7,497.80
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLos Angeles Dodgers+$1,378.61
- SsentrioLast tradedColorado Rockies-$1,375.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SalmachLast tradedUp+$461.60
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$354.23
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$306.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$509.26
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$216.69
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$126.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$320.06
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$216.62
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$139.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 34%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$154.67
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$116.93
- SalmachLast tradedUp+$64.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$190.97
- SGoodFallenLast tradedDown+$117.65
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown+$70.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$180.80
- SalmachLast tradedUp+$150.40
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$134.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$458.14
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$97.40
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$85.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$150.93
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$111.67
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$75.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$278.59
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$224.07
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$114.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$100.22
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$60.02
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$48.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$327.44
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$257.14
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$83.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$275.83
- SStayFocusLuiaLast tradedUp-$198.58
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$123.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$200.14
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$101.69
- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown-$88.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$300.18
- SalmachLast tradedUp-$279.09
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$258
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$261.60
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$163.99
- SalmachLast tradedUp+$156.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$250.68
- SGoodFallenLast tradedUp+$35.38
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$34.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$308.36
- Shoney-spotLast tradedUp+$290.27
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$205.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 34%
Profitable wallets' positions- SohioismLast tradedDown+$390.30
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$102.44
- SwqewqaLast tradedUp-$96.25
- Called
- Anton Matusevich
- Won
- Anton Matusevich
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAnton Matusevich+$5,224.04
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedYuta Shimizu-$2,326.56
- SyesmateLast tradedAnton Matusevich+$2,199.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$215.96
- SalmachLast tradedUp-$140.27
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$90.89
- Called
- Vexar
- Won
- ex-Zero Tenacity
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedex-Zero Tenacity+$483.16
- SsentrioLast tradedex-Zero Tenacity+$345.15
- SThin-MissLast tradedex-Zero Tenacity+$57.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$486.85
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$344.22
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$146.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$839.16
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$152.14
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$116.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$243.32
- Spspspsps5Last tradedDown+$120.01
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$96.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$917.38
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$220.77
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$65.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStayFocusLuiaLast tradedDown-$291.13
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$221.61
- Sx-MoneyForWhiskasLast tradedUp+$176.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$347.99
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$327.15
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$111.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$127.70
- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$90.10
- Sgsdgsf3Last tradedUp+$84.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$137.11
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$135.89
- Sgsdgsf3Last tradedUp-$88.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStayFocusLuiaLast tradedUp+$269.79
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$158.48
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$137.56
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$398.37
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$278.13
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$65.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$168.85
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$144.17
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$124.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$213.06
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$77.64
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$40.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$169.19
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$65.91
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$58.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$348.79
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$183.76
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$154.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Shoney-spotLast tradedUp-$529.24
- SEn111006Last tradedUp-$104.65
- SuninfromedflowwLast tradedUp-$103.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp+$615.44
- SalmachLast tradedUp+$407.51
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$277.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$504.63
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$308.20
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$162.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$666.22
- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedUp-$326.31
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$272.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SalmachLast tradedDown-$108.81
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$98.59
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$95.70
11,841 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 28,709 more positions across 2,298 markets on this day.