Skip to content
Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
2,211 right562 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
11,922

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      drfc4eybh7i8Last traded
      Down+$28.07
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$24.15
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$16.98
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up+$250
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$208.78
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$192
  • Tennis

    Called
    Michael Zheng
    Won
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Michael Zheng-$5,673.13
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Michael Zheng-$1,358.93
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Lorenzo Musetti+$1,261.26
  • Baseball

    Called
    Colorado Rockies
    Won
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Inferior-TrafficLast traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers+$7,497.80
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers+$1,378.61
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Colorado Rockies-$1,375.17
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$190.97
    • S
      GoodFallenLast traded
      Down+$117.65
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$70.69
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$180.80
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$150.40
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$134.80
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$257.96
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$158.80
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$85.24
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$300.18
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$279.09
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$258
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Anton Matusevich
    Won
    Anton Matusevich
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$215.96
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$140.27
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$90.89
  • Esports

    Called
    Vexar
    Won
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$92.32
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down-$52.64
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$47.31
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$169.19
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$65.91
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$58.83
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$238.13
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$231.90
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up+$181.06
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,841 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 28,709 more positions across 2,298 markets on this day.