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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
2,211 right562 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
11,922

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Taylor Fritz
    Won
    Taylor Fritz
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$418
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$386.67
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$187.24

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$152.94
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$139.45
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up-$101.29

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmane

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alexander Zverev
    Won
    Alexander Zverev
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Alexander Zverev+$12,098.41
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Terence Atmane-$4,007.86
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Terence Atmane-$1,604.82

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$754.72
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$261.68
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$177.30

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Abdullah Shelbayh

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lloyd Harris
    Won
    Lloyd Harris
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Minnesota Twins
    Won
    Minnesota Twins
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Kansas City Royals
    Won
    Kansas City Royals
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$215.15
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$192.77
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$154.62

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$300.78
    • S
      Agile-SpacingLast traded
      Up-$292.32
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$104.39

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Clara Tauson

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Clara Tauson
    Won
    Linda Noskova
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-17?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$13,808.57
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$4,463.70
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$2,815.66

  • Kingston: Daniil Glinka vs Florent Bax

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Florent Bax
    Won
    Daniil Glinka
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Florent Bax-$1,866.13
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Daniil Glinka+$921.83
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Florent Bax-$831.59

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Down-$341.89
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$243.88
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$157.30

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,841 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 28,709 more positions across 2,298 markets on this day.

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