Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
2,211 right562 wrong
All wallets: 89% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 14,695
- No consensus
- 11,922
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- Shoney-spotLast tradedUp-$447.79
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$155.50
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$85.79
- Called
- DN SOOPers Challengers
- Won
- DN SOOPers Challengers
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedDN SOOPers Challengers+$7,239.85
- Srf13g145g41g4g4Last tradedDN SOOPers Challengers+$5,239.37
- SmpyhLast tradedNongshim Esports Academy-$2,319.97
- Called
- Mirra Andreeva
- Won
- Mirra Andreeva
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedJanice Tjen-$3,263.71
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMirra Andreeva+$2,851.65
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedJanice Tjen-$1,561.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$419.26
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$389.05
- SohioismLast tradedDown+$259.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$150.69
- SBoneOhioLast tradedDown+$99.70
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$91.58
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 25%
- Called
- Solary
- Won
- TLN Pirates
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 1%
Profitable wallets' positions- Srf13g145g41g4g4Last tradedSolary-$4,205.74
- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedTLN Pirates+$3,581.51
- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedTLN Pirates+$2,736.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$278.80
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$154.42
- S0x0a2c53bd218c04da996cf96490e14-f3dfb9bc2Last tradedDown+$151
- Called
- Nongshim Esports Academy
- Won
- Nongshim Esports Academy
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 45%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedNongshim Esports Academy+$2,183.52
- Srf13g145g41g4g4Last tradedNongshim Esports Academy+$1,276.52
- SjohnbasterLast tradedNongshim Esports Academy-$768.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$385.76
- Sgsdgsf3Last tradedDown+$134.76
- SebfliubaLast tradedDown+$103.71
- Called
- Gen.G Global Academy
- Won
- Gen.G Global Academy
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedGen.G Global Academy+$7,478.69
- SribalkaLast tradedGen.G Global Academy+$5,446.80
- SmpyhLast tradedGen.G Global Academy+$2,264.03
- Called
- Alex Marti Pujolras
- Won
- Alex Marti Pujolras
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 93%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAlex Marti Pujolras+$2,977.33
- SRN1Last tradedAlex Marti Pujolras+$1,592.99
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedAlex Marti Pujolras+$1,268.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$266
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$112.34
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$106.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$772.32
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$686.22
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$323.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$553.73
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$325.98
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$124.76
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$813.54
- SBoneOhioLast tradedUp+$155.74
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$150.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$252.42
- SwqewqaLast tradedUp-$147.42
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp-$126
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$78.84
- Sx-MoneyForWhiskasLast tradedUp-$54.65
- SalmachLast tradedDown+$45.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$268.11
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$219.86
- SalmachLast tradedDown-$160.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 49
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SebfliubaLast tradedUp+$89.94
- Sdangerously-skip-permissionsLast tradedDown-$71.83
- Sgsdgsf3Last tradedUp+$49.48
- Called
- TLN Pirates
- Won
- TLN Pirates
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedSolary-$4,149.99
- StrgparkingLast tradedTLN Pirates+$975.14
- Sameisgoat11Last tradedTLN Pirates+$347.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$345.26
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$302.13
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$282.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$384.14
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$337.99
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$237.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SalmachLast tradedUp+$86.41
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$84.53
- Shoney-spotLast tradedDown+$48.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$163.57
- SohioismLast tradedUp-$158.30
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$109.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- Shoney-spotLast tradedDown+$423.54
- Sx-MoneyForWhiskasLast tradedDown+$123.79
- SalmachLast tradedDown-$121.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$189.51
- SwqewqaLast tradedDown-$119.45
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$106.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 26%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$344.13
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$199.10
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$136.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$100.60
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$100.53
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$95.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$279.95
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$236.19
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$223.79
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
Right- Called
- Bushido Wildcats
- Won
- Bushido Wildcats
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- SThin-MissLast tradedBushido Wildcats+$398.42
- SBushido Wildcats+$305.71
- SfortunekingLast tradedMisa Esports-$217.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHugewinnerLast tradedUp-$1,830.08
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$393.84
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedUp-$364.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$457.98
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$281.62
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$249.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$505.68
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$272.42
- SalmachLast tradedUp+$172
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$216.86
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$88.65
- Smo-moneyLast tradedUp+$54.74
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 34%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStayFocusLuiaLast tradedDown+$272.57
- SalmachLast tradedUp-$229.82
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$213.56
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- Shoney-spotLast tradedUp-$398.24
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$352.83
- SuninfromedflowwLast tradedUp-$77.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$754.71
- Strinity42Last tradedDown+$105.25
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$56.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- Spspspsps5Last tradedDown+$78.98
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$74.78
- SGoodFallenLast tradedDown-$74.18
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo+$7,281.36
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$4,325.06
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$3,985.44
- Called
- Tommaso Compagnucci
- Won
- Tommaso Compagnucci
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedTommaso Compagnucci+$3,769.26
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedTommaso Compagnucci+$3,459.35
- SRN1Last tradedTommaso Compagnucci+$1,918.58
- Called
- Dallas Wings
- Won
- Golden State Valkyries
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmonkeymashingkeyboardLast tradedGolden State Valkyries+$22,499.68
- Smde4life1986Last tradedDallas Wings-$10,867.50
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedDallas Wings-$4,663.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$399.36
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$276.12
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$261.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$210.33
- SohioismLast tradedUp-$151.41
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$32.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$405.60
- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$246.65
- SalmachLast tradedDown+$44
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown+$172.94
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$142.91
- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$123.20
11,841 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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