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Resolution reportTuesday, August 18, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
2,211 right562 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
14,695
No consensus
11,922

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,842 provider closure; 6,853 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    60
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    60
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Up-$647.22
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$503.84
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$314.38

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    60
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$462.64
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$424.99
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$261.79

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    60
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    59
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    59
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    59
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    59
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tommy Paul
    Won
    Tommy Paul
    Profitable wallets
    58
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    58
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    58
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    58
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    58
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Up+$528.88
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$249.85
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$200.20

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$216.69
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$189
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Down+$103.14

  • Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-17?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$5,737.66
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$4,189.31
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$3,688.25

  • LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    HANJIN BRION Challengers
    Won
    HANJIN BRION Challengers
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Sunshine.SmileLast traded
      HANJIN BRION Challengers+$5,032.70
    • S
      spartachioLast traded
      Gen.G Global Academy-$644.19
    • S
      Harmonious-FogLast traded
      Gen.G Global Academy-$335.49

  • Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Won
    Philadelphia Phillies
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Miami Marlins-$2,451.59
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Philadelphia Phillies+$2,405.06
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Miami Marlins-$1,322.24

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$330.92
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$258.40
    • S
      GoodFallenLast traded
      Down-$97.33

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$179.48
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$90.93
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$63.68

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$292.47
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$231.23
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$223.67

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$196.48
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Up+$185.52
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$170.57

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$11,171.59
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$2,754.41
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      No-$2,208.16

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$319.10
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up-$95.39
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$79.81

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Club Puebla win on 2026-08-17?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Up-$324.46
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$203.77
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$162.93

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$284.48
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$120.02
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up+$73.87

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

11,841 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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